[ronald_reagan]

I honestly don't see how Chris Bailey is getting that Central and Eastern KY will see 2-4 inches and Southern KY 1-2. Everything I have looked at shows that the majority of the moisture will be gone by the time the cold air arrives. But Chris does have "in house models" that WKYT have provided him. So who knows what they are showing. It might snow quite a bit on Sunday, but due to the rain, and warm temps, don't expect much of it to stick.

These models are still fluctuating however. No model has shown the same solution twice, so really, who knows what it will do?

Latest NAM 12z looks horrible for winter weather lovers. Farther to the west than previous runs.

I just don't get how we're 30 hours out right now, and no two solutions are the same. I've seen 250 mile differences in the freeze line over the past 24 hours. I think we're going to have to wait until we get into the 12 hour timeframe and start looking at extreme short term models.

I have about 10-20% confidence at this point, of a major winter event. Wrap around snow looks weak... it seems as if the coastal low is going to steal this storms thunder. And late term moisture as well.