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Old School Hound's A Bit Too Early (Perhaps)" RPI for 4A Contenders
#43
I believe that the RPI will look quite different by seasons end, I believe a lot of those 5 and 6A schools on Cov Cath’s schedule will lose a lot of ball games.


(09-04-2023, 01:07 PM)Old School Hound Wrote: Right now, Cov. Cath's WP, OWP and OOWP are ridiculously good. For those unfamiliar with RPI, that's the three components that are in the algorithm for calculating RPI. WP=winning Percentage; OWP=Opponents Winning Percentage ; OOWP=Opponents Opponents Winning Percentage. The first two are weighted 35% of the RPI score and OOWP is rated 30%. Here's how the five schools I've referenced compare, in terms of WP, OWP, and OOWP.

Team / WP/ OWP/OOWP

1. COV Cath / 1.265208 / .897396 /.946934

2. Ashland/ .936019/ .927847/.604854

3. Corbin/ .934858/.630217/.512502

4. Boyle/ .837560/.565089/.647247

5. J. Central / .440908/.436323/.380178


As you can see. Cov Cath's numbers in all three measures are extremely high. Their opponents and their opponents' opponents are all winning, Now, over time, their OWP and OOWP will come down some but barring a loss or two, it won't be enough to dislodge them from the #1 spot. Ashland is very interesting. If they go in to Johnson Central and win and go undefeated on the season, it's possible, and even likely, they would finish #2.

Btw, I made a slight error in Corbin's RPI. It is 0.70153 , NOT 0.72403.

Current RPI for these five schools after three weeks:
After 3 weeks ----


School/ RPI/ Points Behind Leader
1. Covington Catholic /  1.04087 /  ____

2. Ashland  /  0.83381 /    0.20706

3. Corbin /  0.70153  /  .33934

4. Boyle County / 0.68517 /  .35570

5. Johnson Central  / 0.42108 /  .61979
Messages In This Thread
RE: Old School Hound's A Bit Too Early (Perhaps)" RPI for 4A Contenders - by Jack Lambert - 09-04-2023, 06:35 PM

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