[BEChargers]

What probability are we giving the Hounds to break their 41 year State title drought?  10% ,  20%  ,  >20%

How many trophies would Corbin have if Haddix had been allowed to remain in Corbin?

10% to 20% - The Hounds will need upset wins over Johnson Central and Boyle County to win the title. Transfers could change the odds.

Maybe one. It is doubtful that Haddix would have benefitted from as many key transfers at Corbin as he has at Boyle. Given the same players, Haddix would have made Corbin more competitive but I think some Corbin fans overestimate Haddix's ability. He has benefitted as much from his location as Boyle County has benefitted from his presence. Boyle County was well coached before Haddix and they will be well coached when he leaves.

Why would it be considered a upset if Corbin beats Johnson Central?

Because Johnson Central outgained Corbin in last year's playoff game behind an inexperienced offensive line and they return nearly all of their line from that team, in addition, to their top two running backs (McCoart and Conley, who missed most of last season with an injury) and a sophomore running back (Logan Music) who would have started as a freshman at that position for most teams in Kentucky last season. Corbin has a lot of talent returning but if Johnson Central enters the playoffs healthy, it is going to take a lot of points to take them down, IMO.

There is a full regular season to be played, and the schedules have not even been finalized, but if the RPI does not send JC to Corbin again this season, I expect JC to be favored over Corbin. JC should have a very good shot at an undefeated regular season but out-of-state teams on the schedule could send them on the road again if Corbin also finishes undefeated.

I am not overlooking the possibility of losses to Ashland, Covington Catholic, or Ironton before a hypothetical match-up between JC and Corbin would take place. I was just stating why I think that Corbin's chances of winning a title are only 10 to 20 percent. There is plenty of competition for a spot opposite of Boyle County. If Boyle County has a 50 percent chance of repeating, that doesn't leave a lot of odds to split among the field.

If they are good enough to beat Corbin, I don't see Ashland beating them.