[Hoot Gibson]

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016...-forecast/

That light you saw at the end of the tunnel for Trump - it was a train about to roll over him. The Trump convention gave him what might charitably be considered a dead cat bounce. The DNC convention was not much better, but Trump's refusal to focus on Hillary and Obama while campaigning is fueling her rise in the polls. She is now up +6.8 in the Real Clear Politics average of polls. There has never been a worse Republican presidential candidate.