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New York
#11
RunItUpTheGut Wrote:After Tuesday the GOP is going to have to take a long hard look at what direction they want to go.
Trump is very likely to sweep the northeast and the other two are already eliminated from the delegate battle.
Tuesday will be the story of whether or not they cave or drag it out. Either way, Trump will face killary in november.



Still a long time yet, but he's up 50% to Cruz's 22% in California. If he does sweep the northeast, in the spirit of trying to allow for the unforeseen and because Connecticut is proportional, he'll get at minimum 20 delegates there, 16 in Delaware, 38 from Maryland, Pennsylvania is supposed to be winner take all in a closed primary, and Trump is up there right now by 19 points, but shenanigans are supposed to be afoot, so say he gets 40 of the 71, and probably about 11 from Rhode Island. Add all those to 845 and you get 970 worst case scenario. However, he could sweep in Pennsylvania which would bump him from 970 to 1001. But laying that aside, California has 172 and is a winner take all state so that would make 1142, only 95 short.

Trump leads in Indiana according to a FOX poll by 8 points, has 57 delegates and is a winner take all. But even if he loses there, he is still likely to get 34 in West Virginia, and another 51 in New Jersey for a total of 1227 making him only 10 shy of he mark if he goes on to lose Montana, South Dakota, Oregon, New Mexico, Washington State, Nebraska and Indiana. Added to that is the fact that New Mexico, Washington, and Oregon are proportional with their delegate assignments. So, it is hard to believe Trump would not pick up at least 10 delegates total from those three states, arriving at something north of 1237 before the convention.
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Messages In This Thread
New York - by RunItUpTheGut - 04-20-2016, 03:53 AM
New York - by Granny Bear - 04-20-2016, 02:31 PM
New York - by Demarcus ware - 04-20-2016, 04:36 PM
New York - by WideRight05 - 04-20-2016, 06:32 PM
New York - by RunItUpTheGut - 04-20-2016, 06:56 PM
New York - by Demarcus ware - 04-22-2016, 05:19 PM
New York - by RunItUpTheGut - 04-23-2016, 07:33 AM
New York - by RunItUpTheGut - 04-23-2016, 08:04 PM
New York - by TheRealThing - 04-24-2016, 03:14 AM
New York - by RunItUpTheGut - 04-24-2016, 08:23 AM
New York - by TheRealThing - 04-25-2016, 06:03 AM

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