[lastrebel1985]

There would have to be some very dramatic events occur for Mercy to not win this Region. Vorbrink is not Bloomer, and that is yet to be seen whether it is a good or bad thing. Maybe just a different thing. Thomas will probably shine in the circle more so than Twyman, although both are terrific, and any other team in the Region would kill to have either. They also, added a strong, speedy athlete in Batliner who hasn't played softball in a couple years.

I would forget about PRP. They have two of the best players in the Region with Autumn McDuffie and Paige Murphy (neither of which are listed in the ridiculous top preseason players list. what a joke that is??), but they don't have much in the way of pitching now that Mercer and her sister are gone to Valley, and are sitting out a year.

Bullitt East will be the only team to challenge. They have a good number of good to very good players, but man did they stink it up at State last year. Seems the bulk of their team is the 2014 class, so if they maybe they will get it together this year against Mercy, who killed them every time they faced them last year.

Butler is probably the biggest question mark. They could spoil someone's plans at the end of May.

Fern Creek may go .500 playing a weak schedule, but that's generous.

The best of rest is Holy Cross. They're kind of like Butler.

20% chance Bullitt East wins Region. Otherwise, Mercy all the way.