[TheRealVille]

:hilarious: That article is some wishful thinking and creative writing. Polls that are well within the margin of error this late in the campaign are not "solidly" either party's.

So you disagree with what analysts from both sides say? What they say is that Obama is in a better position to win.

[Hoot Gibson]

So you disagree with what analysts from both sides say? What they say is that Obama is in a better position to win.

I don't trust anything that the AP's cherry-picked analysts say. Do you believe that Pennsylvania is "solidly" Obama's or Iowa? How about Florida, do you think that is still a toss-up? Most analysts think that Romney has Florida locked up and while history still favors Obama to win Pennsylvania, it is certainly not solidly in Obama's column.

[Harry Rex Vonner]

So you disagree with what analysts from both sides say? What they say is that Obama is in a better position to win.

If the sample is realistic even, Obama will win. If they over sample Democrats, which has always been the case so far, Romney may well win.

If I take a poll at the union hall, Obama will win. If I go to the chamber of commerce, Romney will win.

It will all get down to turnout.

[TheRealVille]

I don't trust anything that the AP's cherry-picked analysts say. Do you believe that Pennsylvania is "solidly" Obama's or Iowa? How about Florida, do you think that is still a toss-up? Most analysts think that Romney has Florida locked up and while history still favors Obama to win Pennsylvania, it is certainly not solidly in Obama's column.

I have never said either had it locked up. All I am stating is that political analysts, not KY armchair, conservative politicians, say the the probabilities favor Obama.

[Hoot Gibson]

I have never said either had it locked up. All I am stating is that political analysts, not KY armchair, conservative politicians, say the the probabilities favor Obama.

The political analysts in the article that you posted say that - there are plenty of analysts who are predicting a big Romney win. Michael Barone has been in this business a long time and he is predicting a bigger margin than I am. BTW, you dodged my questions. You should be able to look at the poll numbers yourself and figure out that some of the claims in the AP article are dubious at best.