[TheRealVille]

I predict Obama 282-290 EC votes.

[LWC]

I predict that the election comes down to 1 swing state. From there, I cannot guess.

[nky]

Romney in a run away

[TheRealVille]

Romney in a run away

Post numbers if you are so sure.

[RunItUpTheGut]

Im going 275-263 Romney.

[Stardust]

Romney with 538

[nky]

Romney 310+ Electoral votes

[RunItUpTheGut]

^
All joking aside, do you believe thats possible?
If that happens, every poll in this country, including rasmussen will be from here on out thought of as a joke.
310+ is where it SHOULD be with the current conditions, but im thinking it will simply come down to Ohio for Romney, and he needs that along with one other leaning swing state of Obamas.

[nky]

There are states that are in play now that will push Romney's totals including PA and Michigan.
Some of the polls are under representing Republicans so I don't think the American public has a real clear view on things.
Ohio for example will be a 8-9% victory for Romney as well as some of the other pick um states

[TheRealVille]

There are states that are in play now that will push Romney's totals including PA and Michigan.
Some of the polls are under representing Republicans so I don't think the American public has a real clear view on things.
Ohio for example will be a 8-9% victory for Romney as well as some of the other pick um states

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/0...A920121102

[Panther Thunder]

There are states that are in play now that will push Romney's totals including PA and Michigan.
Some of the polls are under representing Republicans so I don't think the American public has a real clear view on things.
Ohio for example will be a 8-9% victory for Romney as well as some of the other pick um states

Really hope you are right.

[tvtimeout]

Polls are what Polls are... I personallly can not wait to get back to watching a ball game without a political commercial

[Hoot Gibson]

^
All joking aside, do you believe thats possible?
If that happens, every poll in this country, including rasmussen will be from here on out thought of as a joke.
310+ is where it SHOULD be with the current conditions, but im thinking it will simply come down to Ohio for Romney, and he needs that along with one other leaning swing state of Obamas.

It should be unanimous considering what a poor job Obama has done, but liberals have driven so many decent people out of states like California, New York, Maryland, and Massachusetts could be charged with a felony and win those electoral votes. I thin 310 is at the upper range of what Romney could win, but it is not beyond his reach. I am expecting Romney to win between 280 and 300 myself. No president since the Great Depression has won a second term with an unemployment rate as high as Obama's.

The unemployment rate is higher than when Obama took office, our foreign policy is in a shambles, and Obama is frantically trying to keep the top from blowing off of several scandals until after the election. Independents know that Obama is facing a potential Watergate sized investigation if he is reelected. Romney will carry independents by a wide margin and it is hard to see why his core base of supporters would be enthusiastic to turn out in big numbers to vote for the loser.

[TheRealVille]

It should be unanimous considering what a poor job Obama has done, but liberals have driven so many decent people out of states like California, New York, Maryland, and Massachusetts could be charged with a felony and win those electoral votes. I thin 310 is at the upper range of what Romney could win, but it is not beyond his reach. I am expecting Romney to win between 280 and 300 myself. No president since the Great Depression has won a second term with an unemployment rate as high as Obama's.

The unemployment rate is higher than when Obama took office, our foreign policy is in a shambles, and Obama is frantically trying to keep the top from blowing off of several scandals until after the election. Independents know that Obama is facing a potential Watergate sized investigation if he is reelected. Romney will carry independents by a wide margin and it is hard to see why his core base of supporters would be enthusiastic to turn out in big numbers to vote for the loser.

I thought you believed in polls? You said so the other day. Enough swing state polls are showing Obama with enough votes to get the win, and then some.

[Hoot Gibson]

I thought you believed in polls? You said so the other day. Enough swing state polls are showing Obama with enough votes to get the win, and then some.

We shall see. Romney has Obama running around trying to defend states that everybody thought were his a few weeks ago. Obama is acting like he is behind and Romney is behaving presidential. Obama is nearly broke and he would not be advertising and campaigning in Pennsylvania and Nevada if he thought they were locks. If he can't hang on to Virgina, then I cannot see him winning the election.

[TheRealVille]

We shall see. Romney has Obama running around trying to defend states that everybody thought were his a few weeks ago. Obama is acting like he is behind and Romney is behaving presidential. Obama is nearly broke and he would not be advertising and campaigning in Pennsylvania and Nevada if he thought they were locks. If he can't hang on to Virgina, then I cannot see him winning the election.

Like I said, nearly every poll in states that are being fought for right now, say Obama is ahead. 5 points in Ohio, and a 3 to 6 point lead in PA. MI is leaning Obama, as well as WI. VA is a slight Obama lead. I am conceding FL and NC, but even they have a dead heat. I'm not even adding NV and CO, and CO is leaning Obama.The numbers don't add up poll wise, at least not right now. Obama is leading every state he needs to win.

[Hoot Gibson]

Like I said, nearly every poll in states that are being fought for right now, say Obama is ahead. 5 points in Ohio, and a 3 to 6 point lead in PA. MI is leaning Obama, as well as WI. VA is a slight Obama lead. I am conceding FL and NC, but even they have a dead heat. I'm not even adding NV and CO, and CO is leaning Obama.The numbers don't add up poll wise, at least not right now. Obama is leading every state he needs to win.

We will see soon. You are about to learn that reputable pollsters such as Rasmussen and Gallup are the only ones worth paying any attention to as elections draw near. They have proven themselves over the years but they earn their money by providing accurate results to paying customers.

The tone of the candidates, where they are campaigning, and where they are spending their money are the best indicators of which states they believe that they can win. Romney is upbeat and optimistic on the campaign trail and Obama is desperately avoiding his record and slinging more mud.

[nky]

Two months ago Obama had a 15+ point lead in PA and now it's down to around 5 with Romney doing huge (11 million dollar ad buy in the state over the last few days), The polls in Ohio are wrong- Know how I know this? The Dems are already laying the ground work for accusing the Sec of State of Ohio with voter suppression so when they lose Ohio they have something to blame it on

[Hoot Gibson]

Two months ago Obama had a 15+ point lead in PA and now it's down to around 5 with Romney doing huge (11 million dollar ad buy in the state over the last few days), The polls in Ohio are wrong- Know how I know this? The Dems are already laying the ground work for accusing the Sec of State of Ohio with voter suppression so when they lose Ohio they have something to blame it on

Democrats will be wasting their time charging Republicans with voter suppression in Ohio.

The Republican Secretary of State tried to mail applications for absentee ballots to every registered voter in the state and actually mailed 6.8 million applications to valid addresses. IMO, this may cause a huge mess in Ohio, with people who applied for and received absentee ballots deciding to vote in person. They will be allowed to cast provisional ballots, which will then need to be checked for duplication - if the election is close. There has been no effort to suppress Democratic voting in Ohio. Republicans have made it too easy.

[nky]

By the way if Obama wasn't concerned with PA why is he sending President Clinton there to stump for him? PA is in play with it's 20 electoral vote

[TheRealVille]

Two months ago Obama had a 15+ point lead in PA and now it's down to around 5 with Romney doing huge (11 million dollar ad buy in the state over the last few days), The polls in Ohio are wrong- Know how I know this? The Dems are already laying the ground work for accusing the Sec of State of Ohio with voter suppression so when they lose Ohio they have something to blame it on

The DOJ is sending people to watch voting in key places, within 23 states, where suppression might take place. They will be there to assure that people that have a right to vote, will get to.

[nky]

The same DOJ that said this was ok?
[YOUTUBE="ok then"]neGbKHyGuHU[/YOUTUBE]

[Hoot Gibson]

The DOJ is sending people to watch voting in key places, within 23 states, where suppression might take place. They will be there to assure that people that have a right to vote, will get to.

The DOJ has become an organized criminal enterprise under Obama. They will be working with organizations like the New Black Panthers to ensure that people who are not eligible to vote have a "fair" shot to do so. Just like the last election.

[Deathstar 80]

Vote for Ralph Nader!

[Image: http://i1.cpcache.com/product/315948431/...olor=Black]

[Memo Luna]

The DOJ is sending people to watch voting in key places, within 23 states, where suppression might take place. They will be there to assure that people that have a right to vote, will get to.

They won't be there to make sure everyone gets the right to vote. They will be there to make sure everyone votes right.

[vector]

I thought you believed in polls? You said so the other day. Enough swing state polls are showing Obama with enough votes to get the win, and then some.

he only believe in the polls that goes his way

[TheRealVille]

COLUMBUS, Ohio — President Barack Obama enters the final hours of the 2012 campaign with an edge in the hunt for the 270 electoral votes needed to win and more ways to reach that magic number. Yet the race is remarkably close in at least six states that could go either way, giving Republican Mitt Romney hope that he can pull off a come-from-behind victory.

If the election were held now, an Associated Press analysis found that Obama would be all but assured of 249 votes, by carrying 19 states that are solidly Democratic or leaning his way — Iowa, Nevada and Pennsylvania among them — and the District of Columbia. Romney would lay claim to 206, from probable victories in 23 states that are strong Republican turf or tilt toward the GOP, including North Carolina.

Up for grabs are 83 electoral votes spread across Colorado, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia and Wisconsin. Of those, Republicans and Democrats alike say Obama seems in a bit better shape than Romney in Ohio and Wisconsin, while Romney appears to be performing slightly better than Obama or has pulled even in Florida and Virginia.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/o...story.html

[Hoot Gibson]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/o...story.html

:hilarious: That article is some wishful thinking and creative writing. Polls that are well within the margin of error this late in the campaign are not "solidly" either party's.

[nky]

^ not solid for either party but doesn't bode well for the incumbent

[Hoot Gibson]

^ not solid for either party but doesn't bode well for the incumbent

^True, and when the incumbent is sitting at 47 percent or less, that leaves a lot of undecided voters, who typically break for the challenger.