[Tomcat68]

The maxpreps computers were 6-2 last week selecting the winners of the state semi final games. Any of this seem out of the real of possibility to anyone? Thoughts or Opinions?

A State Championship

Mayfield - 17

Newport Central Catholic - 28

AA State Championship

Owensboro Catholic - 31

Russell - 28

AAA State Championship

Bowling Green - 28

Lexington Catholic- 31

AAAA State Championship

St. Xavier - 31

Trinity - 22


[size=4]It looks like a Catholic sweep has been predicted :omg: :yikes: Should be exciting to see how it all plays out.
[/size]

[98]

I just hope that the computer is right!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Batpuff]

I hope its wrong for a couple of them anyways.

[KentuckyHillBilly5321]

I think that http://www.masseyratings.com has a better formula. The predictions are a little more realistic.

I see this computer going 2-2--which isn't very good considering.

[imported_torQQue]

I think that www.masseyratings.com has a better formula. The predictions are a little more realistic.

I see this computer going 2-2--which isn't very good considering.

I agree with you. I think it will only be 50 percent correct.

[Tomcat68]

I think that www.masseyratings.com has a better formula. The predictions are a little more realistic.

I see this computer going 2-2--which isn't very good considering.

The only game they differ on is the LexCath / Bowling Green game. So basically you're conceding that the Massey will have atleast 1 wrong prediction. That being said, if you also count the other game you think both have predicted wrong, and LexCath beats Bowling Green (which is really a toss up game between the best offense and best defense in the state) then the Massey's would be 2-2. So not much of a valid point there. I see the Massey going 2-2 actually. Massey predictions are as follows:

St. X - 28.52
Trinity - 23.85

Bowling Green - 28.51
Lexington Catholic - 25.36

Owensboro Catholic - 35.8
Russell - 26.91

Mayfield - 19.24
Newport Central Catholic - 23.94

[KentuckyHillBilly5321]

The only game they differ on is the LexCath / Bowling Green game. So basically you're conceding that the Massey will have atleast 1 wrong prediction. That being said, if you also count the other game you think both have predicted wrong, and LexCath beats Bowling Green (which is really a toss up game between the best offense and best defense in the state) then the Massey's would be 2-2. So not much of a valid point there. I see the Massey going 2-2 actually. Massey predictions are as follows:

St. X - 28.52
Trinity - 23.85

Bowling Green - 28.51
Lexington Catholic - 25.36

Owensboro Catholic - 35.8
Russell - 26.91

Mayfield - 19.24
Newport Central Catholic - 23.94

You are correct--but keep in mind--when dealing with percentages--there is a huge difference between being 50% correct and 75% correct. How does that make my point invalid? It doesn't--but I see what you are getting at.

Also--when you look at the projected scores--massey is a little more realistic (IMO). I also base this on the fact that his predictions (for the team that I coach for)--were nearly right on the button every time this year.

I also give Massey more credibility because he publishes his formula--and you can review it right on his website (not to mention that his formula is used in many major polls--not just the BCS). It takes all the right factors into account. Everything from home field advantage to out of state wins (with their power rankings factored in).

[cookie_munster]

Who come up with the simulation process?

[Tomcat68]

You are correct--but keep in mind--when dealing with percentages--there is a huge difference between being 50% correct and 75% correct. How does that make my point invalid? It doesn't--but I see what you are getting at.

Also--when you look at the projected scores--massey is a little more realistic (IMO). I also base this on the fact that his predictions (for the team that I coach for)--were nearly right on the button every time this year.

I also give Massey more credibility because he publishes his formula--and you can review it right on his website (not to mention that his formula is used in many major polls--not just the BCS). It takes all the right factors into account. Everything from home field advantage to out of state wins (with their power rankings factored in).

I get your point completely. But, everyone always talks about Cantrell and Massey and I like looking at the Maxpreps for a change up to the usual. I will give the Massey's an edge since they were 7-1 last week as opposed to 6-2. The only point I was saying was invalid was the potential to swing of % on a single toss up game. As easily as LexCath could win and make the Massey look 50%, Bowling Green could win and make the Maxprep look 50% as well (assuming they both miss one of the common picks).

Are there any other published computer based predictions with scores included? It would be nice to have a thread with all of them after the finals and compare which ones were the most accurate?

[JCRunningMachine#17]

Let's Go Bowling Green!!!

[FOX SPORTS]

i don't see bowling green beating Lex Cath

[KentuckyHillBilly5321]

Didn't Bowling Green barely lose to St. X (7-0)?

I have a feeling that Bowling Green may beat LexCath within an inch of their life. We just don't hear anywhere near about them as much because they are from Western KY.

[DNTKNME]

Nice