[EKUAlum05]

IF BOTH UF AND ALABAMA MAKE A BCS BOWL GAME:


Current standings (Bowl Eligible in italics):
SEC EAST
x1. Florida 10-0, 8-0 vs. FIU, vs. FSU
2. Georgia 6-4, 4-3 vs. UK, @ Georgia Tech
3. South Carolina 6-5, 3-5 vs. Clemson
4. Kentucky 6-4, 2-4 @UGA, vs. Tennessee
5. Tennessee 5-5, 2-4 vs. Vandy, @ UK
6. Vanderbilt 2-9, 0-7 @ UT

SEC WEST
x1. Alabama 10-0, 7-0 vs. Chattanooga, @ Auburn
2. LSU 8-2, 4-2 @ Ole Miss, vs. Arkansas
3. Ole Miss 7-3, 3-3 vs. LSU, @ Miss State
4. Auburn 7-4, 3-4 vs. Alabama
5. Arkansas 6-4, 2-4 vs. Miss State. @ LSU
6. Miss State 4-6, 2-4 @ Arkansas, vs. Ole Miss

SEC BOWL TIE-INS
1. BCS National Title
2. Sugar Bowl
3. Capital One Bowl
4. Cotton Bowl
5. Outback Bowl
6. Chick Fil-A Bowl
7. Liberty Bowl
8. Music City Bowl
9. Independence Bowl
10. Papajohns.com Bowl


Assuming Alabama and UF take care of business, UK controls their own destiny in the SEC East Standings.

UK DEFEATS UGA AND UT
- UK finishes 2nd in the SEC East (8-4, 4-4).
- If LSU beats Ole Miss, let alone wins out, the Tigers will be in the Cap One Bowl. Ole Miss will fall to the Cotton Bowl in this scenario, and UK would play in the Outback Bowl.
- No matter what happens, at worst LSU would finish with the same record as UK and will probably get the nod over them for the Cap One Bowl,,,,, in other words UK's best case scenario is the Outback Bowl.

UK Defeats UGA, loses to UT
- UK finishes 7-5, 3-5...
SEC EAST IMPACTS
- No matter what happens UK finishes 5th in the SEC East, even if they finish 7-5 and the other teams finish 6-6 because both SC and UT would own the tiebreaker on UK.
- Best case would be Music City Bowl, worst case would be Papajohns Bowl.
SEC WEST IMPACTS
- If Miss State wins out (doubtful), then that leaves 11 Bowl Eligible SEC Teams. Thus UK's 7 wins would certainly help their situation as 3 other SEC teams would finish more than likely with 6 wins, and probably see UK either land in Birmingham or Nashville (most likely). Miss State or South Carolina would end up the odd man out as SC would more than likely finish 6-6 losing 5 of their last 6, MSU's low crowd following would hurt their chances.

Most Likely Scenario:
USC finishes 6-6, UT finishes 7-5, Arkansas finishes 7-5, Auburn finishes 7-5.
LSU to Cap One, Ole Miss to Cotton, Tennessee to Outback, Georgia to Chick Fil-A, Auburn to Liberty, Arkansas to Independence, UK to Music City, SC to Papajohns


UK Beats UT, Loses to UGA
UK finishes 7-5, 3-5.....
SEC EAST IMPACTS
- Georgia would finish 2nd in East, UT would have to beat Vandy to force a 3 way tie with UK and USC.
- If SC loses to Clemson, UK finishes 3rd in SEC East. If SC beats Clemson Uk finishes 4th in SEC East.
- IF UT loses to Vandy, UK finishes 4th in SEC East regardless of SC vs. Clemson.
SEC WEST IMPACTS
- If Arkansas wins out they would knock UK down one spot in every scenario. Thus, UK finishes 3rd in East but end up in Music City Bowl, UK finishes 4th in East and plays in Papajohns.

Most Likely Scenario:
LSU- CapOne, Ole Miss- Cotton, UGA-Outback, UK-Chick Fil-A, Arkansas-Liberty, Auburn-PapaJohns, USC= Independence, UT-Music City

UK Loses to UT and UGA
- UK finishes 6-6, 2-6
- UK finishes 5th in SEC East no matter what
SEC WEST IMPACTS
- If MSU becomes Bowl Eligible it becomes a tossup between UK, Arkansas, MSU, and USC for three bowl games. In other words it probably would be UK vs. Miss State for the Papajohns Bowl... UK may miss out.

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO
LSU-CapOne, Ole Miss- Cotton, UT-Outback, UGA-Chick Fil A, Arkansas-Liberty, UT-Music City, Auburn-Papajohns, UK-Independence