[More Cowbell]

Kentucky - 14
Louisville - 36

not this year cats, lost a star runningback, quarterback, reciever, and line backer. You need all 3 of those to win. lol

Like MVP2 said, Louisville lost all their starters at the skill positions too. Brohm, Douglas, Urrutia, Barnidge, Allen... all gone. So by your logic, Louisville won't be able to win either.

I see the offense as being a push. Hunter Cantwell has more experience than Mike Hartline, so despite heavy losses at WR by both teams, I give Louisville the advantage in the passing game. Kentucky returns 3 tailbacks that are good enough to start, so I give their RB committee the edge in the ground game. Louisville also lost their star kicker, Art Carmody, but Lones Seiber isn't all that great either, so we'll call that area even.

The difference will be on defense. UK lost Woodyard, and he was a great player, but his departure allows Micah Johnson to step up and be a full-time starter, so I don't think there will be much drop-off in UK's LB corps. The rest of the defense returns largely intact, and I think they will give U of L fits.

I won't say the Cards can't win, because UK will likely struggle to score, but no way does Louisville win by 22 points. UK's defense won't allow that to happen.