[More Cowbell]

lol, your pretty much right Fritz..especially that last sentence. Whenever Pittsburgh and Cincy hooks up, you can expect big plays on offense AND defense, and a whole lot of times, special teams make or break your chances of winning (see Ricardo Colclough handing you all the game last year at Heinz, lol)..but no matter what, you can pretty much bank on a split between them. Some way Somehow, itll happen. On paper Cincy is world beaters, and if they were in the NFC, playing a predominately NFC schedule, I wouldnt hesitate to put them at 13-3 or somewhere around there, but the wear and tear in the AFC creates an anything goes end to a season. But, Cincy will sweep Cleveland, split against everybody else in the division. However, I think the top three teams in the division will split against each other as well. I dont think Baltimore is the superteam everybody is picking to win the division though. But all in all, its going to be a fun season. Although I completely disagree with the choice for the Steelers head coach (I was wanting Whisenhunt or Grimm), the Rooneys have proven me wrong before, lol..

Special teams gaffes gave you guys the game at Cincy last year, too, with Graham missing the game winning FG at the end (the only time all year he missed from within 40).

Anyway, I do agree with you that Cincy, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore will all split each other, with Cleveland out of luck. I do think Cincy will win the division, though, and the difference is in the rest of the schedules. Excluding common opponents and each other, those 3 teams play 2 unique games apiece:
-----Cincy = Tennessee and KC
-----Balt. = Indy and SD
-----Pitt = Jax and Denver

Look at those games, and I see 2 wins for the Bengals, 2 losses for the Ravens, and a split for the Steelers. So the Bengals should take the division. Honestly, I don't think the Bengals could have asked for a better schedule this year.