[StatDad]

New user so bumping up an old thread.  The JCPS and State tournaments for 8th Grade Boys start this week.

I'm kind of an analytics nerd so I put together all the scores I could find to rank the teams and set some odds - "for entertainment only" of course.

I don't have enough scores from across the state to feel confident in any of the seeding games for state, so will repost with state rankings after those early games. I know there are some great teams from across the state - Woodford Co, Lex Catholic, Corbin, Ashland, Wayne County, & Breathitt all stood out with some of the results I did see. I'm sure teams like Hindman, EJ Hayes and North Laurel are still great as well. Who are the other teams you all will watch for?


JCPS City Tournament
Championship Odds:
--------------------------------------------------
Team                          Probability
--------------------------------------------------
Newburg                            35.00%
DuBois                            31.83%
JCTMS                              11.92%
Noe                                6.80%
Kammerer                            5.94%
Crosby                              5.09%
Stuart                              3.00%
Lassiter                            0.31%
Meyzeek                            0.08%
Johnson                            0.03%

Play-in round:
Western @ Conway; Conway +1.0, 36.5% to win
Highland @johnson; Johnson -34.5, 99.7%
Carrithers @JCTMS, JCTMS -44.0, 99.9%
TJ @Ramsey -6.0, Ramsey 72.8%
Knight @ Meyzeek, Meyzeek -30.5, 99.5%
Shawnee at Westport, Westport +1.0, 34.1%
Newcomer at Olmsted N, Olmsted -21.0, 97.5%
Farnsley at Moore, Moore -15.0, 87.2%
Brown at Barret, Barret -30.5, 98.2%