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2024 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Predictions
Hoot Gibson Offline
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#77
10-20-2024, 01:02 PM
The IBD/TIPP national presidential poll released today has Trump up 49-47 over Harris in popular votes among likely voters, with a MOE of only +/-2.0 points. The two most recently released national polls on RCP are Trump +3 and Trump +2. While it is theoretically possible that Trump could win the popular vote and lose the electoral vote, it seems highly improbable that it will happen. What these polls suggest is that Trump is making large gains in deep blue states where he is not spending much time or money campaigning, while the poll results in the top battleground states remaining mostly within the margin of error.

The consensus among political pundits seems to be that Trump will lose the popular vote but still be competitive in the Electoral College vote.
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RE: 2024 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Predictions - by Hoot Gibson - 10-20-2024, 01:02 PM

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