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2024 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Predictions
#75
(10-20-2024, 12:30 AM)Hoot Gibson Wrote:
(10-20-2024, 12:10 AM)Old School Hound Wrote: New presidential swing state poll has Harris up by 8% in Michigan( +3% in Wisconsin, tied in PA). It's gonna be close, folks.

https://www.masslive.com/politics/2024/1...-up-8.html
Bullfinch Group? That one must have been hard to find. Smile Atlas Intel's 10/12 through 10/17 poll has Harris up +1 in Wisconsin, Trump +3 in Pennsylvania, and Trump +3 in Michigan, all with sample sizes of at least 932 likely voters and MOEs of +/-3 points or better for all three states.

The Bullfinch Group poll has a MOE of +/-4.0 for each of the states polled. Those results are much different than most of the recent polls listed on Real Clear Politics.

The Average RCP Betting Odds favor Trump by a 57.8 to 40.9 margin, with Harris no closer than 14 points in any of the betting sites.


Yeah, I was taken aback by the Bullfinch Group(a Are we sure that's not Old School's personal polling group...lol) poll.  8% seems kinda like an outlier, doesn't it?    Still say the winner of PA will be the president.
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RE: 2024 Presidential Election Electoral Vote Predictions - by Old School Hound - 10-20-2024, 12:46 AM

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