[Hoot Gibson]

Good thread topic, Hoot.  I hope Jet doesn't hijack this one with his lies like he did your last thread.  I guess as long as you don't say the tiniest thing negative about his tangerine god , he will be okay.  I still believe  it will be very close.  I'm gonna stick with what I've been saying for months now. The person who wins Pennsylvania will be the next president.

I agree that Pennsylvania is a key battleground state and I believe that Trump will eek out a win there, in part due to Kamala's flip-flopping on fracking. I also have Trump winning Michigan and Wisconsin. If he takes those three states, then it will be very hard for Kamala to beat him.

I had not really been paying very close to the campaigns before the past few days. I have to say, I believe that Trump's ads are much more effective than I recall them being in his two previous campaigns. Part of his strategy seems to be to run ads targeted at male voters during NFL games. The best ads that I have seen feature Kamala explaining her position on issues like making taxpayer-funded sex change operations available to illegal immigrants and prisoners.

That is not a popular position among men in in either party and it ran during halftime during Sunday's NFL games on TVs in homes and sports bars across the country. All Trump did was say that he endorsed the message after playing video clips of Kamala's interview. The ad even featured large captions, in case TVs were muted during halftime.

I read that Trump is leading among likely male voters by 16 points and Harris leads among likely women voters by 14 points. Charlemagne tha God discussed the sex-changes for prisoners ad on his show and was shocked at Kamala's proposal. (The same show on which Joe Biden declared that if you aren't voting for him, then "you ain't black.")

Nice alliteration . Say that one five times really fast. LOL  Would you say Kamala is a Mother Fracker? 

I agree that if Trump wins PA, MI, and WI, he will be extremely difficult for his opponent to win. VERY difficult. I also believe that some of the most effective ads are those which let the opponent's own words work against him/her.

At the moment, Kamala is a non-Mother Fracker, but she is on so many videos stating that she opposed fracking during her campaign in 2019, she is going to have a hard time convincing voters who depend on natural gas production and fracking for a living, not to mention consumers who would face the higher energy costs as a result of a fracking ban. 

Pennsylvania was very close in 2016 and 2020 and Trump is well ahead of where he was at this point in those campaigns. That is why I am picking him to win in PA. I think that Michigan and Wisconsin will be tighter races than Pennsylvania.