[jetpilot]

plus/minus  9.5 combined TDs in the Corbin -Pikeville game on 8/23  ???

Under. 28-21 type game. 21-14 wouldn't surprise me.

You might be right. Seems like a lot of times when two really good teams play, especially with good offensive talent, it ends up being a defensive battle. Corbin and Mayfield were two of the best offensive teams in the state back when they met in '76. It was a 6-0 final.  Conventional wisdom would say these two will light up the scoreboard but games aren't decided by conventional wisdom.

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plus/minus  9.5 combined TDs in the Corbin -Pikeville game on 8/23  ???

Under.

What if I lowered it to 8.5 ?

Why conventional wisdom? Both teams play terrific defense. 1st game, new faces, offenses will be somewhat rusty, Corbin lost top RB and top receiver, Pikeville DL and LBs will be harassing QB Elam all night. Don't know what Corbin has on defense but I expect it to be excellent. There will be a few big plays but no way offense dominates defense IMO.