Thread Rating:
03-09-2024, 01:45 AM
(This post was last modified: 03-09-2024, 01:50 AM by Cactus Jack.)
Current lines for tomorrow's games (that could have a large effect on Kentucky's seeding):
-Tennessee (-7.5) vs. Kentucky
-Mississippi State (-4.5) vs. South Carolina
-Alabama (-14.5) vs. Arkansas
-Auburn (-16.5) vs. Georgia
-Florida (-10.5) vs. Vanderbilt
-Ole Miss (-1.5) vs. Texas A&M
-LSU (-7.5) vs. Vanderbilt
A South Carolina loss would be huge for Kentucky, as they own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cats and they've beaten the #1 overall seed (Tennessee); this will probably all still be moot if Kentucky and South Carolina each lose, as I think South Carolina would still own the tiebreaker (unless there's a convoluted scenario where there's a three way tie between Kentucky, South Carolina, and Florida that would give the Cats the edge).
I think that if Kentucky wins tomorrow and South Carolina loses, then the Cats are a lock for #2, as they'd own the head-to-head over Auburn and Alabama. That one is a very simple, but realistic scenario. If so, the Cats would be the #2 and the Vols the #1 and wouldn't be able to meet again until the SEC final. I don't think that the league office would mind this scenario-- if the Cats and Vols split, we probably still see Tennessee as the lowest #1 or highest #2 and see Kentucky as a low #2 or high #3 given the SEC Tournament wins that each would have to pick up along the way.
There are probably some of these scenarios that are mathematically impossible (i.e., Florida getting to the #2 or even #4, Ole Miss getting the #7) but it's late and I'm not running each and every scenario when we're a few hours away from things really coming into focus. With that said, here are the locks--
Locks:
1. Tennessee
2. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
3. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
4. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
5. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
6. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
7. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
8. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
9. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
10. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
11. Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
12. Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
13. Vanderbilt
14. Missouri
-Tennessee (-7.5) vs. Kentucky
-Mississippi State (-4.5) vs. South Carolina
-Alabama (-14.5) vs. Arkansas
-Auburn (-16.5) vs. Georgia
-Florida (-10.5) vs. Vanderbilt
-Ole Miss (-1.5) vs. Texas A&M
-LSU (-7.5) vs. Vanderbilt
A South Carolina loss would be huge for Kentucky, as they own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cats and they've beaten the #1 overall seed (Tennessee); this will probably all still be moot if Kentucky and South Carolina each lose, as I think South Carolina would still own the tiebreaker (unless there's a convoluted scenario where there's a three way tie between Kentucky, South Carolina, and Florida that would give the Cats the edge).
I think that if Kentucky wins tomorrow and South Carolina loses, then the Cats are a lock for #2, as they'd own the head-to-head over Auburn and Alabama. That one is a very simple, but realistic scenario. If so, the Cats would be the #2 and the Vols the #1 and wouldn't be able to meet again until the SEC final. I don't think that the league office would mind this scenario-- if the Cats and Vols split, we probably still see Tennessee as the lowest #1 or highest #2 and see Kentucky as a low #2 or high #3 given the SEC Tournament wins that each would have to pick up along the way.
There are probably some of these scenarios that are mathematically impossible (i.e., Florida getting to the #2 or even #4, Ole Miss getting the #7) but it's late and I'm not running each and every scenario when we're a few hours away from things really coming into focus. With that said, here are the locks--
Locks:
1. Tennessee
2. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
3. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
4. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
5. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
6. Kentucky/Auburn/Alabama/South Carolina/Florida
7. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
8. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
9. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss
10. LSU/Mississippi State/Texas A&M/Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
11. Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
12. Ole Miss/Georgia/Arkansas
13. Vanderbilt
14. Missouri
Messages In This Thread
SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-24-2024, 08:40 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-25-2024, 02:51 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Old School Hound - 02-25-2024, 06:02 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by jetpilot - 02-25-2024, 02:12 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Old School Hound - 02-25-2024, 03:17 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-26-2024, 08:08 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by jetpilot - 02-27-2024, 11:12 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-27-2024, 01:37 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by jetpilot - 02-27-2024, 01:48 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-27-2024, 02:07 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Old School Hound - 02-27-2024, 08:14 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-28-2024, 11:00 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 02-29-2024, 12:16 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-08-2024, 06:22 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Old School Hound - 03-08-2024, 02:47 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-08-2024, 10:14 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-09-2024, 01:45 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-09-2024, 02:47 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-09-2024, 04:02 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-09-2024, 07:40 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-09-2024, 09:44 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-10-2024, 01:06 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by jetpilot - 03-12-2024, 12:09 AM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Cactus Jack - 03-15-2024, 06:00 PM
RE: SEC Tournament Projections - by Old School Hound - 03-15-2024, 06:09 PM
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