[kybred]

CALPREPS losses were Corbin, Male
Massey loss was Male (https://masseyratings.com/hsf/ky/games)

Based on the original post with the historical percentages, CALPREPS picking 4 winners was not unexpected based on numbers I computed. The numbers I computed showed CALPREPS was just as likely to pick 5 or 6 wins vs 4 wins or fewer. I would have made the over/under based on CALPREPS predictions at 4.5 wins.