[Hound05]

A 1-point loss to North Laurel  and a 1-point win at home against Letcher leads one to believe JC has a very low probability of winning at Corbin, Lex Cath or Boyle.

One would be mistaken to draw that conclusion. Letcher County Central is very good offensively, with a very quick and talented quarterback who is as much a threat to run as he is to pass - not unlike Simon Kenton. Like Simon Kenton, if their offense plays well, LCC can make your defense look worse than it is. Corbin was lucky to escape the game with Simon Kenton with a win. Johnson Central was lucky to win tonight. They were one big play or mistake away from a loss.

I can kind of see the comparison. But not actual team wise. SK has beaten some good teams. LCC lost to an avg at best hazard team who pikeville just took to the woodshed. And a TN team who is very avg. 

but I will agree with you in a way. Certain teams matchup better and worse than another team would. Like a good pass offense vs an avg pass defense. You see it early in the year a lot, and like this, sometimes in district play. Plus teams respond to others differently too. I thought for a long time that lex cath gets a little more motivated against boyle than they would against Scott. Or similar. Lincoln county played us good for the past 2 seasons. But we’d kill a team that beat them. But looking back at it now, an avg team played us tight, we thought it was just one of those games, and we
overestimated ourselves, and didnt know until we played a great team, of just how much we did.