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Its a strange year....
#6
(09-25-2022, 07:34 AM)Hoot Gibson Wrote:
(09-24-2022, 11:59 PM)Hound05 Wrote:
(09-24-2022, 02:53 PM)Scotty_Bronson Wrote: Lets take a look at the midway point at some 1-3A teams that have wveryones attention.

Raceland beats Ashland...not unheard of but to be one called back TD away from a running clock is. 

Raceland absolutely destroys Russell...biggest margin of victory and most points score by one team in the current series. 


Raceland goes toe to toe with Highlands. Never thought those words would come out of my mouth. 

Pikeville plays Cov Cath and Corbin to the wire and arguably should have won those games. Tbh, didnt think those words would come out of my mouth either.

Pikeville whips LCA and Belfry...a win not suprising in either game, but how they won was a statement, imo. 

All that being said. How good is anyone?!lol

Last night was the first time we have seen a "real" Pikeville performance all season. Did Raceland peak already?

How good are Greenup and Lawrence County? Is LCA what we thought they were? Can Belfry make another crazy run after a slow start? Does Ashland bounce back after a shakey start to the season? Is Beechwood a measuring stick for Paintsville? They have been rather quiet on here. 

If the end of the season out like the front half, its going to be an interesting November.
You took the thought right out of my mind. I was thinking the same thing the past two weeks. And it’s just not 1-3A. 4A as well. Usually I can get the jist from a majority of the teams. Especially the central and eastern teams. But I shared some of those thoughts about two weeks ago and it didn’t receive a warm reception, because if what we believe is true, it doesn’t legitimize or solidify some teams victories, and I guess defeats. But most don’t want to admit it. And that includes my team as well. Corbins wins are about like most teams in the top 4 or 5, people will try to dispute it with RPI, but what they don’t account for is RPI isn’t a mid season indicator. Or Calpreps. Their algo is a little more accurate late season, but it still has its failures especially when teams are close, mid season is even worse. Not enough data for it. But back to work on wins, Pikeville. I think most know pikeville is a good 1A team. But they haven’t proven it yet with their record. Losing to Corbin, and Cov cath. Both good teams. But how good? Which begs how good is? Then Franklin co. They have talent but their results aren’t what most thought. They barley lost to Scott county, who beat Bryan station by 1 point. To me I think those three teams are almost Equal. But none of FCs wins stand out. Then Pulaski, who I do think is underrated. But outside of us, their next best opponent was belfry. Who to be honest, isn’t that good. So how good really is PC?

then boyle co, they beat Bryan station by 24. About the same margin as we did FC. And those two ans Scott county like I said are about equal to me. And we still don’t know how good that is? Then they played Henderson co. And I’ll bed honest, it seemed like HC gave them some problems but I have no idea how good they are at all? But then the Bowling green game. BGs schedule was horrible up to boyle. They beat a bunch of teams in him were horrible. So it’s hard to tell how good they really are and how good a win it was for boyle. 

JC… lost to NL. I honestly think that was just the me of those games. NL is good, but I’d they are truly better than JC, well I keep that thought to myself. But so far a few of JCs “tougher” opponents are out of state. So about like Henderson co and boyle. I have no idea how good the competitors were. But their other Ky opponents were awful. And they beat them like they should. But again, you can’t tell much from a team whose putting a clock on an awful opponent half way through the game. 3 people could come in blind to the previous games and have one watch Corbin vs somerset another JC vs fern creek and the last boyle vs Danville. I’d bet each one would come back saying that team is gonna win it all. Point is, it’s hard to judge when the opponent is awful or unproven. 

I don’t remember ever feeling like this. Just kind of up in the air about teams like this year. Hopefully by week 8 or 9 it will be more clear. But right now, AP polls are garbage, RPI isn’t made for such a short data set. I’ve only watched a handful of other teams, but I honestly think unless you watched about 10x more, you’re not gonna know any better than us. So I agree, it is a strange season. But then again I’m “giving analysis from the peanut gallery” I’ve been told, so maybe I just rambled on for nothing hah
One of Johnson Central's out of state "tougher" opponents is no more of an unknown than any of Boyle County's opponents. Ironton has been to the Ohio's Division V finals in each of the past two seasons and returns three D1 signees (2 with Cincinnati and 1 with Wisconsin) and another player who has an offer on the table from UK. There is little doubt that if Ironton played in Kentucky that they would easily be a top 15 team in all classes.

JC is really no more of an unknown than they were a year ago at this point of the season. Because of key injuries, JC lost one early season game and won another in OT last season. This season, they lost an early season game against a good North Laurel team after losing a 140 yards per game rusher to an injury on their third offensive play. This week they begin district play in a district that appears to be as weak as it was last season. Chances are, JC will enter the playoffs with an 8-2 record, with most Corbin and Boyle County fans once again considering their own teams to be on "another level." Maybe they are but they will have to prove it on the field. Some people put way too much stock in preseason scrimmage "results" and early season games and those same people make the same mistake season after season.
Hoot… buddy did you only read like 1/4 of my post. Of course JCs out of state opponent was no more of an unknown or any less than boyles. THAT WAS EXACTLY the point Im arguing. Just as Unknown as any wins from Corbin ir JC. I agree with you but for the exact opposite point I was trying to make. I even said that fans, including OUR OWN would get mad because it doesn’t legitimize their team like they want. This is exactly what I was talking about. And yea, you have to replace 140
yards of offense. Can ya do it? Yea. Will you? It’s probably likely but UNKNOWN. you read this entire post, and come away that I was trying to downgrade JC? How? Because I mentioned their opponents and not knowing how good they are? I did that with everyone’s!!! Last year doesn’t matter, Corbin played Franklin a year out from being in the title game and beat them with no questions asked. You see where that got us. And it was because FC wasn’t that good. Who knows if Ironton is? But I disagree with you last year, I knew where JC was. They were a very good team. Knew that when we played them. Same with a lot of teams last year. Including us, and our weak schedule giving us a false sense. This year, no idea. That was the entire point of my post. The original post. I’m sorry if that maybe gets under your skin, but nothing result wise that JC has done yet makes them stick out IMO. But guess what…… neither does Boyle and neither does Corbin.  Obviously I’m not the only one who thinks this. Again most wouldn’t admit it because like I said, it doesn’t crown their team king Of the state in week 5. For me, and others I assume, hopefully it’ll come together in the next 3-4 weeks and give me a better idea. But again, I don’t know how you can read my entire post and come away with me thinking JC is any less than any other team or arguing that they stand out more? My point all along. You even said people put a lot of thought or weight into early season games, I AGREE. That’s why I’m implying that we don’t know how good or separate JC, Boyle, or Corbin is. Haha. I don’t know what you are referring to about scrimmages. Didn’t watch a single one. But I just don’t get how you are arguing or debating what I said, when you basically said the same thing, but for a way different reason. Also, how did I put Corbin or boyle on “another level” in my post? You couldn’t even say I’m implying that, must less saying it?

*edit from my first post, my phone changed a lot of words and wasn’t paying attention* it meant to read- do I tbink NL is better than JC. I said I’d keep it to myself. But the answer is NO. I even said it was just “one of those games”.
Messages In This Thread
Its a strange year.... - by Scotty_Bronson - 09-24-2022, 02:53 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Granny Bear - 09-24-2022, 03:19 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-25-2022, 08:50 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-24-2022, 11:59 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hoot Gibson - 09-25-2022, 07:34 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-25-2022, 08:24 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hoot Gibson - 09-25-2022, 09:37 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-25-2022, 11:02 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by TheStickyBandit - 09-25-2022, 07:56 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-25-2022, 08:48 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hoot Gibson - 09-25-2022, 10:44 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by TheStickyBandit - 09-25-2022, 11:36 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by TD Hounds - 09-25-2022, 10:37 AM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by FootballFan1999 - 09-25-2022, 12:03 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Hound05 - 09-25-2022, 05:01 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by FootballFan1999 - 09-25-2022, 05:30 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Shogun - 09-25-2022, 06:16 PM
RE: Its a strange year.... - by Bull got out! - 09-27-2022, 06:27 PM

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