[BlackcatAlum]

The common opponent between the two teams is Floyd Central. The Jags were able to control the clock on both teams, yet lost both games and SV & Pburg were both able to finish with around 300 total yards on FC.

Shelby Valley wants to establish a run game with Newsome and a quick passing game with Osborne. Osborne is a smart quarterback, that won't throw many balls into bad spots. If the play isn't there downfield, he will tuck it and run for first downs. Prestonsburg has been running the ball at will ever since they've got their whole team back from quarantine before the Powell game, averaging right around 8.5 yards per carry over the last 3 games. The line has been opening big holes and the misdirection plays have been effective.

The Wildcats have also been hammering Prestonsburg since Brewer took over for Pburg. Averaging over 50 points per game and holding Pburg to under 10 during that stretch. This game is likely to be much different than the last 3 meetings. Prestonsburg is way more physical and has momentum going into the game and there's a chance SV may not take Prestonsburg as serious as they should because of their recent dominance in the series.

For Prestonsburg to win, they cannot play undisciplined like they have the last two weeks. If they do, they're beat. You cannot give this Valley offense first downs because of mental mistakes. The Blackcats must apply pressure to Osborne and contain Newsome. Getting stops in the backfield would be huge for Pburg. Secondary has to be very smart also, because SV wants gash you with the short passing game. Blackcats cannot afford to get down big early in this ball game, because Pburg does not have a passing game. They've got to limit possessions for SV's offense by controlling the clock and most importantly play smashmouth football. Be physical and don't turn the ball over.

For Shelby Valley to win, you've got to create turnovers and force 3 and outs. Prestonsburg's line is good and Akers and Jarvis aren't easy to bring down, but they're susceptible to fumbling while trying to get those extra yards. If the Wildcats can force a few fumbles and jump out on Pburg early, they'll win this game.

This is a huge district game for both teams and I highly expect a great game that will come down to the wire. If Pburg can run like they have been they'll win this game, but if SV is able to force a few turnovers and hit on some big plays with Newsome or through the air with Osborne, then Valley wins.

I'm taking Pburg, 28-22.