[HCS]

It depends on which Harlan County team shows up. Will we see the Harlan County team that beat Knox Central on their home court and beat Corbin in the regional finals, or the team that was smacked around by Corbin twice and almost lost to Lynn Camp. I really think Harlan County is a solid favorite in this one. I am a bit concerned about Harlan County's relatively weak schedule. Their toughest games were against Perry Central, Corbin, South Laurel, Knox Central and North Laurel. However, after looking down Scott's schedule, it appears theirs was not much tougher, and when they did play tough teams they usually lost. I think Harlan County wins this one by 10-15 points and then meets Perry Central in the quarter finals.

They didn't play well in the earlier Corbin games and struggled at Bell County, but Lynn Camp played pretty well in the regional and HCHS missed shots they hit the next two nights.
Harlan County did beat three teams in the state tournament field though, so I think the schedule was pretty competitive. The John Hardin team they beat at East Jessamine was probably as good as anyone they played. They beat five teams that were ranked in the state's top 25 at one point (Perry, Knox, South, Corbin and North).
I hope you're right about the 10-15 points, but if you look at Cantrall then HCHS was a favorite by one-tenth of a point.