[TheRealThing]

You are flunking basic statistics and lying again. If I were grading, I would suspend you for a semester for academic fraud.

The RCP average has Clinton up by 5.8 in both a 2-way and a 4-way match-up with Trump. Even if the RCP showed Clinton up by 4, that would not be within the margin of error. If you average multiple polls taken in the same time frame, the confidence level is not the same as it is for the individual margin of error for the individual polls.

Calculating the margin of error for the average of polls precisely is not even possible because the polling methods and questions are never identical - but averaging poll results is the rough equivalent of increasing the size of the sample, which always reduces the margin of error of the individual polls. The MOE of an average of multiple polls is always much smaller than the MOE of a single poll. In other words, the average of 10 polls, each with a margin of error of 4, is not 4. That is just not how statistics work.

Trump is getting trounced in the polls. Cherry picking one or two polls that show results that make you feel warm and fuzzy does not change that fact and neither does misstating the RCP average of poll results.

RIUTG found a poll that shows that Trump is running away with the race. I am surprised that you chose to post the Rasmussen results instead of following his lead. Obviously, if Trump was in a statistical dead heat with Hillary, then she would be the candidate playing musical chairs with her campaign managers instead of Trump.

BTW, RCP has Clinton leading in states having 272 electoral votes to Trump's 154 total. With no toss-up states, RCP has Clinton leading in states having 362 electoral votes.

Real Clear Politics

Whatever. Dick Morris whose opinions you say you respect, has a book out in support of Donald J. Trump. In the view of Mr Morris, the ramifications of this election season are nothing short of political Armageddon, and he is an all-in Trump proponent. Not many agree with you, and saying that is giving you a boat load of credit that you don't deserve because the opinions you parrot were given to you by others. In reading your endless recitations, other than being grateful for our own objectivity, we have plumbed the depths of your knowledge. Sort of like a tape recording, one pushes the button and the recorded message is heard. Every time and as often as the button is pushed however, it is the same old repetitive and hollow message, over and over and over.

But I've noticed yet another similarity attributable to you that is seen in liberals as often as they open their mouths. As soon as they get done with letting loose another whopper, they always finish it off by calling their counterparts liars. And though you may not have developed the technique, you've certainly mastered the art. So though you may be a classless and empty echo chamber, honesty not withstanding, that is not to say that you have nothing to add to the recitations.