[WideRight05]

I understand your position, but Trump is not displaying very good political instincts and he already trails by nearly 5 points in the RCP average of polls.

Hillary's campaign is going to outspend Trump by a wide margin. Interviews of families who have been ripped off by Donald Trump because of his serial bankruptcies and other failed projects (e.g., condos in which people invested heavily that were never built) will play a large role in this election. Small family business owners and employees will be sympathetic subjects of negative ads against Trump.

The fraud cases that are pending against Trump will also hurt him badly.

This should be a very easy election win for Republicans, but Trump is even a worse general campaign candidate than I expected he would be. The electoral map is looking very shaky for Trump.

IMO, it is very telling that so many Republican politicians are already distancing themselves from Trump. When the Speaker of the House is criticizing his own party's presidential candidate behavior, the road ahead is not going to be a smooth one.

The one thing that could hurt Trump heavily is how much he has divided the party. After all the insults from Trump and his supporters, now everyone else is expected to swing over and follow them. I just don't see him being able to pull supporters over. It's just not the type of person he is. Trump's strengths are that he is good at punching away and taking a stand - the problem is, he is bad to go too far with it sometimes and he has done so to the point where he has damaged relationships in the party with people who would have been key allies.

I see him pulling a few disgruntled Republicans over though, at least just enough to where he can beat Clinton. The fraud cases, I don't see being too much of a factor. They will likely be settled.

Hillary will certainly go to deep lengths to tear into him though. My guess is she is going to go further than using people who have worked for Trump - you may have mentioned this before, but I could very well see her using a disabled person or even a veteran that worked for one of Trump's companies, and - even though Trump wouldn't know of the scenario - they would bash Trump because of how they were treated.

Most voters do not think highly of either candidate - but considering they have the choice of one or the other, more will probably go toward Trump.