[TheRealThing]

Trump is a clown. I will make a very plain prediction for you. If Trump does not win on the first ballot, he will lose to Cruz by a wide margin on any and all subsequent ballots. There is a good chance that Trump will not even hang around to give a concession speech if the voting goes to a second ballot.

The rules cannot be changed at the convention without the consent of the delegates and Trump's actual support is far less than the number of the pledged delegates who will be forced to vote for him on the first ballot. Very few delegates will be supporting Karl Rove, so he will be a non-factor at the convention.

In another indication of Trump's absolute failure to build an effective national campaign organization:

The Trump staff sent an email blast to Washington Trump supporters asking them to sign up for a chance to become Trump delegates at the state convention. However, instead of reaching out to the residents of Washington, the state, the email messages went to Trump supporters who reside in Washington, the District of Columbia.

And that is not even the punch line, here it is: the deadline to apply to be eligible for representing Washington, the state, had already passed before Trump staffers realized their mistake.

Cruz hand picked supporters in Washington, the state, took 41 of the delegate slots to 0 for Trump.

If Cruz controls the majority of the delegates attending the convention, I do not see how Karl Rove plans to take the nomination from him on a second ballot. Rove is as much of a clown as Trump is. Both of them are far more stupid than they suspect.

Trump has one shot to be the nominee - a first ballot win, and he has only himself and the inept staff that he hired to blame.

Do you know of any expert that predicts Trump will win if he loses the first ballot? (And by expert, I am not including Trump, Roger Stone, or Trump's own staff.)

And there in lies the duality of the real rub. First, you seem to think you can accurately predict the future, and I don't have an ounce of faith that you can. And secondly again, this all seems personal to you, but I know all I have is one vote and my opinion. Respectfully, the outtakes of which I would rather not necessarily take from you.

If I had the power and the privilege of appointing the man I think is the most viable candidate for President, it would have been Mike Huckabee. But as things turned out, my choices look to have boiled down to either Trump or Cruz and I can live with that. Rejecting the front runner on the basis distortions and or on otherwise manufactured grounds, smacks of anarchy to me. That's my opinion and when it comes time I will vote my conscience. Then one day, after time has come to an end and I stand in my lot at the end of my days, I will be called on to give an account of my life. At this point I plan to avoid the 'Hoot said' option.

In any case, I wouldn't presume to speak as to how even one unbound delegate is going to vote, much less nearly 2,500 of them.