[Mario]

Brazil Serie B
11/18/2014

Atletico Goianiense vs Bragantino

Home - Atletico Goianiense
Last away matches - L-D-W-W-D-L

Atletico GO finally lose a match after the amazing form they had shown in the last two and a half months. The team was on the amazing run of nine consecutive matches without a single defeat in the league, having been able to win a whole six of those matches (6-3-0), as this run allowed them to move to the top four and to be among the promotion candidates, but in the weekend this great run had finally came to an end, as the club lost against Parana with 0:2 on the road. However, still, with fifteen victories in the thirty five matches played until now and with fifty three points collected in those games (15-8-12), the team is currently on fifth place, but just one single point behind the fourth position, so in the last three rounds of the season they will try and get the maximum amount of points, especially in their two home matches, to be able to get in the top four in the very last moment. And having in mind their great performance at home during the whole season and the ten victories so far in the seventeen matches played (10-4-3), as well as their great form recently at their arena, having collected sixteen points from their last six games (5-1-0), I doubt that they will do a mistake exactly here.

Away - Bragantino
Last away matches - L-L-L-L-D-L

Bragantino continues to collect a lot of points at home recently and in the same time to lose match after match on the road, but so far this pays off, as the club is currently three points ahead of the relegation zone, with just three rounds remaining, so maybe one more victory in their last home match can be enough for their survival. The team had won a whole three times in their last four matches in front of their fans in the league (3-0-1).

Asian Handicap
Home - (-0.50)
Away - (+0.50)
Pick - Atletico Goianiense (-0.50)
Odds - 1.82
Stakes - 9/10
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Brazil Serie B
11/18/2014

Avai SC vs Portuguesa Desportos

Home - Avai SC
Last away matches - L-L-L-L-L-D

Avai is on the verge of losing their ticket to Serie A in the fashion they did it last season as well and this will be another huge blow for the club, as they are coming really close every single time to the promotion and at the end are left with just nothing, which is really terrible, but still in this midweek round they have one final chance to get back in the fight for the top four, playing at home against the already relegated Portuguesa side and everything else but the three points for the would mean end of their ambitions. Last season Avai had a terrible end of the campaign, as they had lost four times in the last five rounds in Serie B and that cost them the place in the top four and the promotion to the best in the country and right now we are looking at the same disaster from the club, as they are on a really terrible shape in the last months and slipped out of the top four, despite being there for almost the whole season so far. The team had won just one single point in their last six league matches (0-1-5) and because of that horrible run, from being in the top three and having really nice advantage over the fifth and behind in the table, they had now dropped down to the eight place in the ranks, with just three rounds left to be played, but still they are just one single point behind the fourth Ceara, who has a tough away game this round and three points against Portuguesa will surely bring them back in the fight for the top four.

Away - Portuguesa Desportos
Last away matches - L-L-L-D-L-D

Portuguesa in the same time is already relegated and despite that they had collected a whole four points in their last two league matches (1-1-0), still I just can't see how they will get something against Avai, who are really struggling and need all the points in this fixture. Overall the team had managed to win the embarrassing four times so far in the thirty five games played in Serie B (4-13-18), which just proves how terrible season they had got and really how much behind the rest of the field in the league they were in this campaign. Also on the road Portuguesa had collected just one single point in their last five league matches (0-1-4)

Asian Handicap
Home - (-1.00)
Away - (+1.00)
Pick - Portuguesa Desportos (+1.00)
Odds - 2.14
Stakes - 8/10
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Brazil Serie B
11/18/2014

Icasa vs Parana

Home - Icasa
Last away matches - L-D-W-L-D-L

Icasa is on a great run in this final part of the campaign and despite that they had lost in the last round against America RN as visitors with 0:2, which was a really important game, still they are looking for three points in that match, as another mistake against direct opponent against relegation will be just too much at this stage of the season. Before that defeat the team was on a great run of five consecutive games without a defeat, having been able to collect a whole eleven points in those matches (3-2-0), which allowed them to have the chance to fight against relegation. Currently Icasa is with thirty nine points in the ranks, just three behind the safety zone and having in mind their amazing performance at home recently, having managed to collect thirteen from the possible maximum fifteen points at their arena in the last five matches played in Serie B (4-1-0) and with the fact that two of their last three games of the season will be at home, with three points here they will surely get back in the fight against the bottom four.

Away - Parana
Last away matches - L-L-W-D-L-L

Parana is also still not safe, but the situation for them looks pretty good right now, as after the victory against Atletico GO with 2:0 in the weekend, they now have five points advantage over the relegation zone, as well as a whole four clubs separates them from the bottom four, so they all four need to make some great runs until the end to get ahead of them. Also next weekend Parana takes at home on America RN and a win will surely guarantee their stay in the league and having in mind that they had collected most of their points exactly at home so far this season (8-7-3), as well as the whole ten defeats on the road already (3-4-10).

Asian Handicap
Home - (-0.25)
Away - (+0.25)
Pick - Icasa (-0.25)
Odds - 1.87
Stakes - 9/10