[More Cowbell]

Now let's look at who these defeated opponents play in week 10:

1) Hazard (7 points) @ Sheldon Clark
2) B Layne (5 points) vs Jenkins
3) Pike Cent (4 points) vs Perry Cent
4) Powell (2 points) vs Morgan Co

If Prestonsburg defeats Lawrence (7 points), swap them in for Powell.

1) Paris (7 points) @ Berea
2) B Layne (5 points) vs Jenkins
3) Hurley (5 points) @ Phelps
4) East Ridge (4 points) @ S Floyd OR Harlan (4 points) @ Haysi

If Valley defeats Fleming (7 points), swap them in for Harlan/East Ridge.

Right now, Prestonsburg has 18 points. I predict they gain a point from wins by Hazard, B Layne, and Powell, giving them 21 points. If they beat Lawrence, give them 25 points instead. A win by Pike Cent would give them another valuable point.

Valley currently has 21 points. I predict they gain a point from wins by Paris, B Layne, and Hurley, giving them 24 points. A win by East Ridge could put them up to 25. If they beat Fleming, give them 27 points instead.

If Prestonsburg does not beat Lawrence, then they basically have no shot at the #1 seed. If Valley beats Fleming, then they probably lock up the top spot.

Valley still has a shot even if P-Burg wins and they lose. But they would have to have Pike Central to lose to keep P-Burg at 25, and then would need East Ridge to win their game too. If both teams were tied in points, then they go to a fifth defeated opponent, which would give Shelby Valley the edge (Harlan 4 points > Powell 3 points).