Poll: will UK claim at-large>
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01-30-2013, 05:18 PM
To update what I posted earlier, the win against a hot, ranked Ole Miss team helps.
I look at it this way:
No bad losses the rest of the way, 20 wins including one against Florida = no help needed in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and no Florida wins = must win the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, 20 wins, 1 win vs. Florida = at least one win in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and a win vs. Florida = 2 SEC Tourney wins. (Bad losses REALLY hurt).
With the way things are looking:
Feb 2 @ TA&M
Feb 5 vs SCAR
Feb 9 vs AUB
Feb 12 @ #4 FLA
Feb 16 @ TENN
Feb 20 vs VAN
Feb 23 vs #17 MIZZ
Feb 27 vs MSST
Mar 2 @ ARK
Mar 7 @ UGA
Mar 9 vs #4 FLA
*Three games vs. ranked teams. Two of them are at Rupp.
* 6 home games, 5 road games.
Analyzing the remaining schedule:
- of the 6 remaining games at Rupp, there are 4 games that SHOULD be wins (USC, AUB, VU, and MSU). Winning those four would get UK to 18 wins.
-of the 5 remaining road games, only two are SHOULD win games (UT & UGA). That would get UK to 20 wins.
-of the 5 games that are not should-wins, there are two that are play-your-best-and-you-can-win games (TAMU and Arkansas). If UK splits those games, that gives them 21 wins.
-The other three games (#4 Florida [twice] & #17 Mizzou) are games that UK needs to play their best and the opponent needs to play at less than 100% efficiency. If UK can even squeak out 1 of those games that gives them 22 wins, including two total wins against ranked conference opponents.
So, with 22 wins and two wins against ranked teams, that should be enough.
I look at it this way:
No bad losses the rest of the way, 20 wins including one against Florida = no help needed in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and no Florida wins = must win the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, 20 wins, 1 win vs. Florida = at least one win in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and a win vs. Florida = 2 SEC Tourney wins. (Bad losses REALLY hurt).
With the way things are looking:
Feb 2 @ TA&M
Feb 5 vs SCAR
Feb 9 vs AUB
Feb 12 @ #4 FLA
Feb 16 @ TENN
Feb 20 vs VAN
Feb 23 vs #17 MIZZ
Feb 27 vs MSST
Mar 2 @ ARK
Mar 7 @ UGA
Mar 9 vs #4 FLA
*Three games vs. ranked teams. Two of them are at Rupp.
* 6 home games, 5 road games.
Analyzing the remaining schedule:
- of the 6 remaining games at Rupp, there are 4 games that SHOULD be wins (USC, AUB, VU, and MSU). Winning those four would get UK to 18 wins.
-of the 5 remaining road games, only two are SHOULD win games (UT & UGA). That would get UK to 20 wins.
-of the 5 games that are not should-wins, there are two that are play-your-best-and-you-can-win games (TAMU and Arkansas). If UK splits those games, that gives them 21 wins.
-The other three games (#4 Florida [twice] & #17 Mizzou) are games that UK needs to play their best and the opponent needs to play at less than 100% efficiency. If UK can even squeak out 1 of those games that gives them 22 wins, including two total wins against ranked conference opponents.
So, with 22 wins and two wins against ranked teams, that should be enough.
Messages In This Thread
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by toussaints - 01-23-2013, 12:09 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Strikeout King - 01-23-2013, 01:29 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Stardust - 01-23-2013, 01:31 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by RunItUpTheGut - 01-23-2013, 01:33 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Strikeout King - 01-23-2013, 01:50 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by zaga_fan - 01-23-2013, 01:58 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by panther nation - 01-23-2013, 01:58 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Curveball 24 - 01-23-2013, 03:17 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Mr. Pike Central - 01-23-2013, 04:11 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by judgementday - 01-23-2013, 04:47 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by MVP2 - 01-23-2013, 05:27 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Wildcatk23 - 01-23-2013, 07:03 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by itzAmazing - 01-23-2013, 07:11 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by sstack - 01-23-2013, 11:20 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by theVILLE - 01-24-2013, 01:53 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-24-2013, 04:00 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-24-2013, 04:08 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-24-2013, 04:22 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by toussaints - 01-25-2013, 01:33 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-25-2013, 04:29 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by toussaints - 01-25-2013, 07:41 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by TidesHoss32 - 01-25-2013, 09:07 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Spud6 - 01-26-2013, 12:22 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Real Badman - 01-26-2013, 02:56 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by theVILLE - 01-26-2013, 11:58 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-26-2013, 04:42 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by LWC - 01-26-2013, 07:20 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Stardust - 01-27-2013, 03:05 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by McCameraMan - 01-30-2013, 12:27 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 01-30-2013, 02:24 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Curveball 24 - 01-30-2013, 03:59 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by LWC - 01-30-2013, 05:18 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 02-01-2013, 11:50 AM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by toussaints - 02-01-2013, 12:35 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 02-01-2013, 02:32 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 02-01-2013, 02:33 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by LWC - 02-01-2013, 03:21 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by BlackBear3 - 02-01-2013, 04:10 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 02-01-2013, 04:39 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by Observing - 02-01-2013, 04:45 PM
Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by bigbob9 - 02-09-2013, 09:29 PM
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