Poll: will UK claim at-large>
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Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large?
#32
To update what I posted earlier, the win against a hot, ranked Ole Miss team helps.

I look at it this way:
No bad losses the rest of the way, 20 wins including one against Florida = no help needed in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and no Florida wins = must win the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, 20 wins, 1 win vs. Florida = at least one win in the SEC tourney.
A bad loss, less than 20 wins, and a win vs. Florida = 2 SEC Tourney wins. (Bad losses REALLY hurt).

With the way things are looking:
Feb 2 @ TA&M
Feb 5 vs SCAR
Feb 9 vs AUB
Feb 12 @ #4 FLA
Feb 16 @ TENN
Feb 20 vs VAN
Feb 23 vs #17 MIZZ
Feb 27 vs MSST
Mar 2 @ ARK
Mar 7 @ UGA
Mar 9 vs #4 FLA

*Three games vs. ranked teams. Two of them are at Rupp.
* 6 home games, 5 road games.

Analyzing the remaining schedule:
- of the 6 remaining games at Rupp, there are 4 games that SHOULD be wins (USC, AUB, VU, and MSU). Winning those four would get UK to 18 wins.
-of the 5 remaining road games, only two are SHOULD win games (UT & UGA). That would get UK to 20 wins.
-of the 5 games that are not should-wins, there are two that are play-your-best-and-you-can-win games (TAMU and Arkansas). If UK splits those games, that gives them 21 wins.
-The other three games (#4 Florida [twice] & #17 Mizzou) are games that UK needs to play their best and the opponent needs to play at less than 100% efficiency. If UK can even squeak out 1 of those games that gives them 22 wins, including two total wins against ranked conference opponents.

So, with 22 wins and two wins against ranked teams, that should be enough.
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Will Kentucky make the tournament as an at large? - by LWC - 01-30-2013, 05:18 PM

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