[LWC]

Near perfect 3-point shooting, the 1-3-1 and terrible free-throwing shooting by Cal's teams are the only things that have been able to beat John Cal's teams over the recent years. With UNC's long-range shooter out, 3 shooting wont beat them. UNC never plays the 1-3-1, so that wont beat them. UK has not been great from the charity stripe this season but have some very good free-throw shooters on the team (Miller and Lamb are potential 85-90% shooters), so I do not think that will beat them.

UK WON THIS GAME LAST YEAR in the tourney and lost the game at UNC. However the loss in Chapel Hill was the game that UK had 4 players foul out and Harrellson was still growing. UK lost Harrellson and Knight, but gained Davis, Teague, MK-G and Wiltjer. I think UK is certainly the more talented team and will get the better of the Heels.

UK 71
UNC 65