[RoShamBo]

I agree with your assessment. I just don't see all close game predictions. Somerset beat Hazard by a score of 14-zip and Breathitt beat Somerset by a score of 20-zip. So, there is a 34 point difference there. Hazard is going to get hit harder by a better defense. Even if their offense has picked it up somewhat,they still haven't improved that much. LCA is too far down this year for Hazard get much out of that game. I'm gonna say,IMHO,Breathitt is 28 points better than Hazard.

Comparing scores can be deceiving. Hazard probably isn't two touchdowns worse than Somerset on most nights and IMO Somerset isn't three touchdowns worse than Breathitt on most nights. After seeing both teams, I really wouldn't be surprised at all to see Hazard win. They seem to match up with Breathitt better. I think this game will be higher scoring than either of the Somerset games, something like 34-27, but I'm not going to take a winner. This should be a great game.