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Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29
#10
Who ever scores 60 points, in this one, has the best chance of winning.

Reason being:
JC average margin of victory is 13.1
PCC average margin of victory is 10.7
Both statistics are irrelevent

However these statistics are relevent:
JC averages 65.5 points a game while giving up 52.4 points a game. PCC averages 55.1 points a game while giving up only 44.4 points a game.
JC averages 10.4 points more per game than PCC however PCC holds their opponents to 8 points less a game than JC.

STAY WITH ME. NOW IS WHEN IT GETS COMPLICATED. (remember statistics from above statements).

JC 65.5-8=57.5 round up to 58 points in this game. (65.5 points per game average for JC) subtract 8pts ((which is the advantage that PCC holds their opponents to, compared to JC)).

PCC 55.1-52.4=2.7 (average points per game for PCC) ((average points per game JC gives up))
55.1-2.7=52.4 round up to 53 points in this game.

(home court advantage is 6 to 8 points) I will average it and use 7 point advantage.

JC 58 points
PCC 53+7=60 points

In summary 15 points per quarter (average) will have a better chance of winning this game.

Other statistics of interest:

(field goal attempts per game) JC 51.6 PCC 39.3 ((both 2 and 3 point shots))
(3 point field goals made per game) JC 4.2 PCC 3.2 ((advantage of 3 points to JC))
(freee throws made per game) JC 14 PCC 11.25 ((advantage of 2.75, round up to 3 point advantage to JC))

Remember home court advantage (average is about 7 points)

So in summary it all comes down to 3 point advantage for JC on 3 point field goals made and 3 point advantage on free throws made which equals 6 points, however home court advantage is usually about 6 to 8 points (I averaged it to 7 points) so 1 or 2 point difference in this game. Depends on who controls the tempo and who makes their free throws down the stretch.
Messages In This Thread
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-26-2011, 08:35 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by bdub - 01-26-2011, 08:52 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-26-2011, 08:57 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-26-2011, 08:59 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by bdub - 01-26-2011, 09:10 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-26-2011, 09:38 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-26-2011, 10:40 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by moongoose82 - 01-27-2011, 11:11 AM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Aslan - 01-27-2011, 02:05 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by TSSI - 01-27-2011, 06:48 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Aslan - 01-27-2011, 07:41 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Spud6 - 01-27-2011, 07:45 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Lovthe3 - 01-28-2011, 08:05 AM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by rj99 - 01-28-2011, 10:47 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Bluecat - 01-29-2011, 11:50 AM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by MVP2 - 01-29-2011, 12:37 PM
Johnson Central @ Perry Central 1/29 - by Aslan - 01-29-2011, 12:42 PM

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