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11-29-2005, 10:30 PM
Tomcat68 Wrote:The only game they differ on is the LexCath / Bowling Green game. So basically you're conceding that the Massey will have atleast 1 wrong prediction. That being said, if you also count the other game you think both have predicted wrong, and LexCath beats Bowling Green (which is really a toss up game between the best offense and best defense in the state) then the Massey's would be 2-2. So not much of a valid point there. I see the Massey going 2-2 actually. Massey predictions are as follows:
St. X - 28.52
Trinity - 23.85
Bowling Green - 28.51
Lexington Catholic - 25.36
Owensboro Catholic - 35.8
Russell - 26.91
Mayfield - 19.24
Newport Central Catholic - 23.94
You are correct--but keep in mind--when dealing with percentages--there is a huge difference between being 50% correct and 75% correct. How does that make my point invalid? It doesn't--but I see what you are getting at.
Also--when you look at the projected scores--massey is a little more realistic (IMO). I also base this on the fact that his predictions (for the team that I coach for)--were nearly right on the button every time this year.
I also give Massey more credibility because he publishes his formula--and you can review it right on his website (not to mention that his formula is used in many major polls--not just the BCS). It takes all the right factors into account. Everything from home field advantage to out of state wins (with their power rankings factored in).
Messages In This Thread
State Final Computer Predictions - by Tomcat68 - 11-29-2005, 02:59 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by 98 - 11-29-2005, 03:25 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by Batpuff - 11-29-2005, 03:32 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by KentuckyHillBilly5321 - 11-29-2005, 05:50 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by imported_torQQue - 11-29-2005, 06:01 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by Tomcat68 - 11-29-2005, 06:06 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by KentuckyHillBilly5321 - 11-29-2005, 10:30 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by cookie_munster - 11-29-2005, 11:35 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by Tomcat68 - 11-30-2005, 01:09 AM
State Final Computer Predictions - by JCRunningMachine#17 - 11-30-2005, 02:38 AM
State Final Computer Predictions - by FOX SPORTS - 11-30-2005, 09:14 AM
State Final Computer Predictions - by KentuckyHillBilly5321 - 11-30-2005, 01:10 PM
State Final Computer Predictions - by DNTKNME - 11-30-2005, 05:22 PM
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