[1bassman]

At 30-5, Jenkins has a phenomenal record this year, just like they have had for the past several years.
But even with a losing record at 17-19 ( 7-0 in region), Estill County is still the team to beat. They haven't played anyone in the 14th region, with the exception of the required seeded games in the 56th, so there's really no way to measure how they will fare against Jenkins and the other powers in the region. But most of their losses have been to powerful Bluegrass area teams such as Lafayette, Dunbar, Henry Clay, Madison Central, Clark County, Montgomery County, LexCath, Woodford County, East Jessamine, etc,. Those are what many would call "quality" losses.
Records can be misleading, particularily in the case of Estill County. They haven't lost the 14th region championship since they joined in 2006 and there's a good possibility that won't change this year either.

You are correct that records can be misleading but don't overlook the fact that the Lady Cavs have several quality wins outside the region as well. Estill and Jenkins are clearly the favorites going in to regional play. Also don't overlook Breathitt as a darkhorse. They are very capable of surprising some teams. It will be interseting to see how it plays out!