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3A Strength of Schedule per CalPreps
#1
These are opponents' records for the first 15 3A teams listed on Calpreps. Believe it is current through today. Take it for what it is worth. Just showing what they have listed. Not my research.

Boyle Co. 44-38
Corbin - 47-35
Belfry - 38-42
Tilghman 43-40
Lex. Cath. - 43-39
Central - 41-41
Caldwell Co. - 44-38
Bell Co. - 29-52
E-town - 48-33
Western Hls - 46-36
Waggener - 39-43
Casey - 35-46
Russell - 42-42
Lawrence - 51-42
Union - 39-43
#2
Take district games against McCreary and Jackson County out and Corbin's opponents would be 45-19.
#3
44-13 against opponents other than Corbin.
#4
Corbin always plays one of the toughest schedules in the state. Excluding some of the big private schools. It pays dividends at the end as well.
#5
After playing Knox Central this week can add on 7 more wins Confusedhh:
#6
Theres a lot more to strength of schedule than raw wins and losses. Calpreps 3a schedule numbers ranked here:
Lex. Cath. 15.1
Boyle Co.12.8
Corbin 3.9
Western Hls 3.9
Central 3.3
Tilghman 3.2
Caldwell Co. 2.6
E-town 2.4
Waggener 1
Belfry 0.9
Union minus 7.4
Lawrence minus 7.6
Russell minus 7.9
Bell Co. minus 12.8
Casey minus 14.1
#7
Sheds a little more light. Just wins and losses do not tell the whole story. We must do better in scheduling. I agree it makes you better.
#8
I don’t understand the metrics they use. Are they saying BCs and Lex cath schedule was tougher? Hahah
#9
Hound05 Wrote:I don’t understand the metrics they use. Are they saying BCs and Lex cath schedule was tougher? Hahah
Yes, that is exactly what they are saying.
Lex Cath has played 8 good teams, 3 really good teams.
Boyle has played 7 good teams, 1 really good.
Corbin has played 5 good teams, 1 really good.
#10
I’d say beechwood and mayfield are both really good. Boyle has played Ballard, and lex cath which I would compare to bell county.
#11
Hound05 Wrote:I’d say beechwood and mayfield are both really good. Boyle has played Ballard, and lex cath which I would compare to bell county.
You are correct I missed counting Mayfield.
6 good teams, 2 really good.
#12
The worst team on Boyles schedule is 8267.
Corbin has played 9326, 12939, 13472. That deflates Corbins numbers on the average. Thats why I like to break down the good teams on the schedule like I did above. Corbins good/really good games may indeed be tougher.
#13
Belfrys district games kills them in these kinds of ranking. Take just our non district games, and we look a little better. But that's why we schedule pretty good non district foes. Theres no way our district would prepare us for the playoffs. And I'm not trying to throw off on PCC, Floyd, Lawrence, and Sheldon Clark. It is what it is. I wish our district was more competitive. Fact of the matter is, it's one of the weakest in the state.
#14
Iam4thecats Wrote:The worst team on Boyles schedule is 8267.
Corbin has played 9326, 12939, 13472. That deflates Corbins numbers on the average. Thats why I like to break down the good teams on the schedule like I did above. Corbins good/really good games may indeed be tougher.

Oh I’m with ya on that. Our district games bring us way down. But I tbink our tough games were def stronger and overall probably a tougher schedule just looking at it because of it.
#15
#55PirateFan Wrote:Belfrys district games kills them in these kinds of ranking. Take just our non district games, and we look a little better. But that's why we schedule pretty good non district foes. Theres no way our district would prepare us for the playoffs. And I'm not trying to throw off on PCC, Floyd, Lawrence, and Sheldon Clark. It is what it is. I wish our district was more competitive. Fact of the matter is, it's one of the weakest in the state.
Belfry schedules about like Corbin does. That’s the only way to get better. No offense to any of the districts teams. But even with our horrible district overall I don’t see Boyle’s schedule being tougher. We’ve played the same Danville team. With almost exact results. We played Pulaski and they played Wayne county. Pulaski just best southwestern last week. Their matchup against Lex cath is very comparable to ours against bell. Western hills is probably better than Casey county. I don’t know. But I think our matchup against beechwood and mayfield top the rest of the their schedule. I’d like to know what metrics they used to determine this. I don’t care either way. SOS don’t come with a trophy but it’s got me a little confused I guess. I’m not a big fan of CalPreps anyways. A lot of their projected matchups are way off the actual results. Even at the disclaimer at the bottom it said if you took the home team and with better record you’d be right over 60% of the time haha
#16
Hound05 Wrote:Belfry schedules about like Corbin does. That’s the only way to get better. No offense to any of the districts teams. But even with our horrible district overall I don’t see Boyle’s schedule being tougher. We’ve played the same Danville team. With almost exact results. We played Pulaski and they played Wayne county. Pulaski just best southwestern last week. Their matchup against Lex cath is very comparable to ours against bell. Western hills is probably better than Casey county. I don’t know. But I think our matchup against beechwood and mayfield top the rest of the their schedule. I’d like to know what metrics they used to determine this. I don’t care either way. SOS don’t come with a trophy but it’s got me a little confused I guess. I’m not a big fan of CalPreps anyways. A lot of their projected matchups are way off the actual results. Even at the disclaimer at the bottom it said if you took the home team and with better record you’d be right over 60% of the time haha

This year is even worse than last. LC got better, but still not a threat to Belfry. The other teams in the district weren't even competitive with LC this season. Belfry was head and shoulders number 1, but it seems to me that LC was closer to competing with Belfry than PCC, FC, and SC were to competing with LC. That says a lot about how weak our district is. The dropoff from 1-2 is big, but the dropoff from 2-3 is even bigger IMO
#17
Wildcat45 Wrote:This year is even worse than last. LC got better, but still not a threat to Belfry. The other teams in the district weren't even competitive with LC this season. Belfry was head and shoulders number 1, but it seems to me that LC was closer to competing with Belfry than PCC, FC, and SC were to competing with LC. That says a lot about how weak our district is. The dropoff from 1-2 is big, but the dropoff from 2-3 is even bigger IMO

Western Hills is going to beat Lawrence Co. IMO there is no way they'll contain WanDale. D4 will go 3-1 and I'm anxious to see how well Garrard Co does vs Belfry.
#18
I’ve watched got to see most of these teams mentioned in person this year. To the person above Western Hills would beat Casey 4 or 5 touchdowns and also beat Bell County badly. The team that’s a dark horse to me in the playoffs is Lexington Catholic, definitely the toughest schedule,and people forget Catholic has 3-D1 lineman upfront offered and D1 quarterback,they have players. The 6”7 Def end Vaughn is special for Catholic. Belfry will get all they want from Catholic and wouldn’t be surprised if Catholic won that game.
#19
By the way, don’t say it,I’m not a Catholic or Boyle fan so you know. Just my opinion when’s means very little.
#20
Football Scout Wrote:I’ve watched got to see most of these teams mentioned in person this year. To the person above Western Hills would beat Casey 4 or 5 touchdowns and also beat Bell County badly. The team that’s a dark horse to me in the playoffs is Lexington Catholic, definitely the toughest schedule,and people forget Catholic has 3-D1 lineman upfront offered and D1 quarterback,they have players. The 6”7 Def end Vaughn is special for Catholic. Belfry will get all they want from Catholic and wouldn’t be surprised if Catholic won that game.

Offensively Lexington Catholic is for real, you better have a good secondary if you’re going to play with them. Their weakness is defense if Lexington Catholic and Belfry play each other I could see it going a couple different ways a shoot out with either team winning or Belfry being able to shut down Catholic’s passing game and winning comfortably.
#21
Belfry will not shut down LexCaths offense but neither will LC slow down Belfry rushing attack.

Crap shoot as to who wins. Neither would surprise me.
#22
IMO , having seen both teams, Belfry wins comfortably vs LC. Overall, I think Belfry and Central are much better than what some may want to believe. Boyle and Corbin are very good as well, but in the end 3A is loaded in the top 4 spots
#23
FoSho Wrote:Belfry will not shut down LexCaths offense but neither will LC slow down Belfry rushing attack.

Crap shoot as to who wins. Neither would surprise me.

I have to agree, Lexington Catholic has played against some good teams this year Highlands, Desales, and Boyle County and Boyle is the only team that shut their passing game down other than Boyle they have scored well on every team they’ve played their offense is really good.
#24
People are underestimating belfry. That’s the way they want it. But dang it I’m trying to get them noticed!!!! Haha
#25
Hound05 Wrote:People are underestimating belfry. That’s the way they want it. But dang it I’m trying to get them noticed!!!! Haha

You may be right, honestly I think the game could go two ways if Belfry cannot cover Catholic’s receivers then I see a shootout, if Belfry can shut the passing game down then Belfry wins comfortably.
#26
Jack Lambert Wrote:You may be right, honestly I think the game could go two ways if Belfry cannot cover Catholic’s receivers then I see a shootout, if Belfry can shut the passing game down then Belfry wins comfortably.

I’d say a lot of teams will try to replicate what BC did. Stop the pass and give them the run. Belfry has a lot of speed and are very physical. I think belfry will put a lot of pressure on them causing some TO’s. I could be wrong, it’s just my guess on how they’ll play it.
#27
Hound05 Wrote:I’d say a lot of teams will try to replicate what BC did. Stop the pass and give them the run. Belfry has a lot of speed and are very physical. I think belfry will put a lot of pressure on them causing some TO’s. I could be wrong, it’s just my guess on how they’ll play it.

As always Catholic has plenty of speed and uncharacteristicly they’re big on both sides of line they usually don’t have that much size up front but they do this year.
#28
Jack Lambert Wrote:As always Catholic has plenty of speed and uncharacteristicly they’re big on both sides of line they usually don’t have that much size up front but they do this year.

On a side note I agree with you on taking the passing game away and giving them the run but it’s easier said than done.
#29
Jack Lambert Wrote:As always Catholic has plenty of speed and uncharacteristicly they’re big on both sides of line they usually don’t have that much size up front but they do this year.

I think they’ve also got a little bit of experience of both sides of the line listening to their coach anyways. I just don’t see in HS how someone like Lex cath has the personnel to run the 3-3-5 D that they do. I have a feeling belfry would just eat that up with a run game.

But yes I agree it’s easier said than done with the pass game.
#30
FoSho Wrote:Western Hills is going to beat Lawrence Co. IMO there is no way they'll contain WanDale. D4 will go 3-1 and I'm anxious to see how well Garrard Co does vs Belfry.

Lol! They'll do about as well as Floyd Central will do against you! Help any?

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