[REBEL 4 EVER]

who wins and why

[Crossback]

Holy Cross is looking for another chance to get past NCC. They like the fact that undefeated Owen is in their path. Holy Cross has given up 0 points in the last two games and scored 109 in just over 6 qtrs. Owen has a lot from this season to hang their hat on but Holy Cross will be to much for them this year. Holy Cross 45-21.

[WeBelieve]

.............Common Opponents
Holy Cross - Cov Owen County
53 - 14........Lloyd Memorial........28 - 13
53 - 13........Newport................38 - 13
68 - 0.........Carroll County.........33 - 7
174 - 27.................................99 - 33
..............margin
147...........................................66
HCC averaged 27 more points per game **
new ratings not in yet
HCC beat computer spread prediction by 48
Newport beat computer spread by 1
I expect OC rating to remain about the same and HCC to improve
HCC may end up 3rd or 4th place in 2A ratings this week
MY projection based on OLD FREEMAN computer ratings
Rating..State Rank...Class Rank.......Team Name
19.4..........48........5(2A).........Holy Cross - Cov
18.9..........50........6(2A).........Owen County
Point spread Holy Cross - Cov by 0 ** see above 27?
Holy Cross - Cov Probability of Victory 51.1510891

OC has had a great season already 11-0
HCC is 8-3 but has played a tough schedule
OC is 1 seed and has Home Field Advantage

My gut prediction is HCC spread 21 probability 85%
but definitely a good game by 2 fine programs

[football=everything]

Holy Cross by a few

[Can you dig it?]

Holy Cross by two+ scores.

[toussaints]

I'll take the alma mater by 4+ scores pulling away in the 4th quarter.

I'll be making the trip down to owenton for this one

[Stardust]

^ I did not know it was your alma-mater, so I will go with HC by 30

[Spud6]

HC by 18

[REBEL 4 EVER]

Rebels by 13

[gohard]

Rebels by a td.

[Westside]

Holy Cross

[BigZig75]

End of the road for Owen Cty. Holy Cross wins 41 to 21.

[rebel 4 life]

End of the road for Owen Cty. Holy Cross wins 41 to 21.

Not so fast my freind Owen county wr will be to much for holy cross 32 24 Owen

[biggysmalls58]

holycross by a couple

[Crossback]

I dont see OC's recievers being to much for HC and actually the other way around. HC will spread the def by passes to recievers behind the cb' all night. Then once the d is spread they will unleash the run. I believe OC's d will be guessing all night.:popcorn:

[RebelWarrior]

I dont see OC's recievers being to much for HC and actually the other way around. HC will spread the def by passes to recievers behind the cb' all night. Then once the d is spread they will unleash the run. I believe OC's d will be guessing all night.:popcorn:

Holy Cross has a good offense but our team is crazy! They will put up some points early but by the end of the game they will be to beat up to run or pass.

[Stardust]

Holy Cross has a good offense but our team is crazy! They will put up some points early but by the end of the game they will be to beat up to run or pass.

It's not the OC offense that better be good, but it better be their defense. Holy Cross will match point for point unless they can be stopped. Holy Cross's Kyle Fuller is one of the best QB's in the state and he will pick apart a weak defense!

[nkypete]

It's not the OC offense that better be good, but it better be their defense. Holy Cross will match point for point unless they can be stopped. Holy Cross's Kyle Fuller is one of the best QB's in the state and he will pick apart a weak defense!

That's a good observation, Stardust. In the last two games, Kyle's release has been quicker and he is going through his progressions faster and not locking into one receiver. I even saw him throw it away a couple times last Friday night when nobody was open! In the NCC game he held the ball too long while attempting to survive on just athletic ability. While successful with a long pass and a long run in the first half, the Breds adjusted well in the second half. It has also helped that he is not the sole source for the run. Beal and Pouncy have raised their game to give HC a powerful three-headed monster in the backfield.

[toussaints]

Interesting question: Does Holy Cross blitz hard like they have in most of their games this year, or do they play pass and bait Owen into running it?

[nky]

Interesting question: Does Holy Cross blitz hard like they have in most of their games this year, or do they play pass and bait Owen into running it?

Go with what you've done. Go hard play your style

[WeBelieve]

Owen County has some very tall recievers especially Williams
I have watched some of the IHigh replays and it seems to me
that they depend on this height advantage a lot
Their QB seems to get the ball close and they make the catch
a lot of arch on the passes and sometimes errant
IF Holy Cross blitzes with success then that pressure could
result in maybe 2 to 4 interceptions with the speed HC has.

[RebelWarrior]

It's not the OC offense that better be good, but it better be their defense. Holy Cross will match point for point unless they can be stopped. Holy Cross's Kyle Fuller is one of the best QB's in the state and he will pick apart a weak defense!

Thats what im talking about our defense is full of some crazy kids.They may catch us early while they are fresh but, they won hold up when the pads start popping. We shut down Carson Butcher,that Hopkins kid from bourbon, and the QB for newport. All kids that are great athletes and were supposed to school us. I've seen the game film and HCC's QB has an awful lot of time to throw it but we have a beast d-line with sawyer williams all state honorable mention d end, plus our linebackers are going to be right there if he wants to scramble. I dont think they've beat a team with a defense as good or better than us.

[RebelWarrior]

Interesting question: Does Holy Cross blitz hard like they have in most of their games this year, or do they play pass and bait Owen into running it?

Bait? lol wait until Steven Klette runs it. Im guessing you've never seen us run the ball.

[Crossback]

Crazy leads to errors. HC will capitalize all night long.

[walking tall]

Good Luck with containing Fuller you will see the best QB you have seen all year and as far as the Klette kid he is big but wears down late he will be a load to take down that is for sure. The problem for OC is they will have to cover 4 athletic receivers not 1 or 2 , its not easy and they really dont have the speed to do that. If they want to win this they better run the ball and keep HC of the field. The thought process should be the best DEF is ball control Off for OC.

[toussaints]

Bait? lol wait until Steven Klette runs it. Im guessing you've never seen us run the ball.

I actually saw them run against Lloyd and if they run like that friday, they'll lose by a lot. stick to passing the ball

[WeBelieve]

Rushing Comparison
watched the OC/GC game
Owen rushed 45 yards on 24 carries or 1.87 y/carry
saw NCC rush 9.9 y/c vs GC 247 yd/25 carries

HCC vs Carroll
362 yd 27carries 13.4 yd/c for HC
OC vs CC
235 yd 31 7.5 y/
more important
on defense HC only allowed 20 yards
OC allowed 338 yards

turn overs lost
CC 1 OC 4 and CC 4 HC 0
OC 5 GC 4 NCC 0 GC 2
HC 1 NCC 2
odds are turn overs will curse Owen again
OC had 3 picks GC had 4 vs CC
GC had none vs 2nd and 4th string NCC QB and little pressure
HC was all over NCC 1st string QB and had a pick any almost 2 more

Special teams play will also be a factor, I think the Indians will take field position advantage in that department.

[Young Henry Man]

28-14 hc

[The_OC]

Rushing Comparison

turn overs lost
CC 1 OC 4 and CC 4 HC 0
OC 5 GC 4 NCC 0 GC 2
HC 1 NCC 2
odds are turn overs will curse Owen again
OC had 3 picks GC had 4 vs CC
GC had none vs 2nd and 4th string NCC QB and little pressure
HC was all over NCC 1st string QB and had a pick any almost 2 more
.

OC cannot turn the ball over on Friday like they have late in the season and in the first round (I think they turned it over 4 times vs Newport) if they want to have a shot at winning. They can have a negative TO differential against Carroll, Gallatin, Ludlow, and Newport, and still win, but do that against Holy Cross and these 28 point blowout predictions will become reality.

[Rebelfever]

Either way, Owen county rebels have made history!!!
11-0, soon to be 12-0... I love my boys of fall. And they finally received the respect they drserve!!! I'll be out in the stands like every other rebel fan and you better believe I'm routing for my fellow Rebs!!!! Let's go Oc!!!!