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Who Do You Think Will Win This Regional Championship?
#1
Somerset vs. Betsy Layne
Prestonsburg vs. Danville
Leslie County vs. Middlesboro
Lex. Christian vs. Shelby Valley



Who do you think will make it to the championship game and win?
#2
We're pulling for Leslie.......Go Eagles..
#3
Leslie Co. will play Somerset for the region championship

Leslie Co. wins region

Go Eagles!!!!!!!!!!
#4
This Region is probably without a doubt the toughest one in 2A..The winner could come from either one of the Districts. Ill Take Leslie and Somerset in the finals. Eagles win at home.
#5
This one is going to be interesting.
#6
NIGHTOWL71 Wrote:This Region is probably without a doubt the toughest one in 2A..The winner could come from either one of the Districts. Ill Take Leslie and Somerset in the finals. Eagles win at home.

The Eagles would not be at home if they play the Jumpers in the Regional Finals. Since it is 2011, an odd numbered year, they odd numbered district gets to host the game if the teams are of an equal seed. Somerset is in District 7, Leslie is in District 8. Leslie can only host the Regional Final if someone other than Somerset makes it out of that side of the bracket.
#7
NIGHTOWL71 Wrote:This Region is probably without a doubt the toughest one in 2A..The winner could come from either one of the Districts. Ill Take Leslie and Somerset in the finals. Eagles win at home.

Tougher than this one???

Owen County - Newport
Holy Cross (Covington) - Carroll County
Newport Central Catholic - Gallatin County
Walton-Verona - Lloyd Memorial


No way - You have two undefeated teams where the winner of their match-up will decide a state championship finalist!

Combined records of the above 50-23 versus 42-30. It's a good region, but not the best!
#8
I think if the Jumpers play in the region finals at Clark Field, I could see Somerset winning another regional title.
#9
Taken Care of GC


I like Leslie County they have a good program over there in Hyden but Somerset takes this Regional Title
#10
EAGLES26 Wrote:Somerset vs. Betsy Layne
Prestonsburg vs. Danville
Leslie County vs. Middlesboro
Lex. Christian vs. Shelby Valley



Who do you think will make it to the championship game and win?

Somerset over BL
Danville over P-burg
Leslie over Middlesboro
Lex. Christian over Valley

Somerset vs. Lex. Christian in Finals

AND THE WINNER IS BRIAR JUMPERS!!!!
#11
Somerset
#12
I used Freeman Ratings to calculate the probability of victory on a NEUTRAL field for the first 3 games of the playoffs

district 7
Somerset rating=19.7 Rank state= 47 2A= 3
game 1 95.5512659
district 56.6122677
region 44.9207241
Lexington Christian rating=8.6 Rank state= 83 2A= 10
game 1 85.1948346
district 63.6532235
region 18.6352776
Danville rating=18.3 Rank state= 53 2A= 6
game 1 75.1240794
district 36.7541843
region 28.3905654
Middlesboro rating=-6.6 Rank state= 144 2A= 23
game 1 38.0329939
district 9.71295647
region 0.92828866
40.0
district 8
Betsy Lane rating=-13.6 Rank state= 167 2A= 28
game 1 4.44873406
district 0.1526069
region 0.27560492e-1
Prestonburg rating=6.3 Rank state= 93 2A= 14
game 1 24.8759206
district 6.3128282
region 3.44040857
Leslie County rating=-1.3 Rank state= 122 2A= 21
game 1 61.9670061
district 21.5361477
region 3.13349638
Shelby Valley rating=-10.4 Rank state= 158 2A= 27
game 1 14.8051654
district 5.09767238
region 0.35556588

Briar Jumpers come out favorites (45%)
District 7 will likely send team to semi's(92%)

Sum of Ratings for this Region is 21 (#2)
Sum of Ratings for Region 3 is 44 (#1)
supporting what Stardust stated earlier

also District 7 (Somerset etc) = 40
and District 6 (NCC etc) = 36
so district 7 may be the strongest district if you use this measure
but not for Region

But throw out the numbers and it should be a great region to watch
good luck to all
#13
Do not let P-burg fool ya they are better than there record shows. Must have some senior leadership. They were much better in the beginning season but i look for a big change this week against Pike Central as Derosset will light a fire under them.
#14
I think that Somerset will win the Region but I could see Leslie County, SV, Lexington Christian or Middlesboro playing them for the title It wouldnt suprise me.
#15
ill go with lex. christian but i hope Leslie County wins it. they deserve it i think. even though im not a fan its alway nice to see a program that has struggled for so long here recently without success win something such as a region trophy. good luck eagles
#16
Quote:Do not let P-burg fool ya they are better than there record shows. Must have some senior leadership. They were much better in the beginning season but i look for a big change this week against Pike Central as Derosset will light a fire under them.

idk bro, pike has game too. but we shall see
#17
bac2369 Wrote:Do not let P-burg fool ya they are better than there record shows. Must have some senior leadership. They were much better in the beginning season but i look for a big change this week against Pike Central as Derosset will light a fire under them.

Prestonsburg definitely has some offensive firepower. I think they will have a hard time stopping Danville's offense though. I'm glad Somerset was able to win the district and get home field for the first 3 rounds. It would be a long drive for Prestonsburg or Leslie to come to Somerset and the Briar Jumpers have only lost once at home the last 3 seasons. Playing at home is a huge advantage in this region with the overall balance of the teams.
#18
D-A-N-V-I-L-L-E

or LCA

Maybe Somerset.
#19
Real Badman Wrote:D-A-N-V-I-L-L-E

or LCA

Maybe Somerset.

Even though Somerset beat Danville 23-6, and had Danville down 23-0 midway through the 4th quarter I can see picking them to upset Somerset. With their speed they are certainly capable of coming into Somerset and getting a win.

I don't see picking LCA if they end up matching up with the Jumpers. Somerset beat the Eagles by 31 points on the Eagles home field and LCAs only touchdown came on a kickoff return.
#20
I have no idea about the Danville - P'burg game but the winner will be a tough match up for the Jumpers.

I see LCA and Leslie Co playing in the second round, I'll give a slight edge to home standing Leslie.

I think Somerset should win this region, but this has been a screwy year so anything goes.
#21
Norm Peterson Wrote:Even though Somerset beat Danville 23-6, and had Danville down 23-0 midway through the 4th quarter I can see picking them to upset Somerset. With their speed they are certainly capable of coming into Somerset and getting a win.

I don't see picking LCA if they end up matching up with the Jumpers. Somerset beat the Eagles by 31 points on the Eagles home field and LCAs only touchdown came on a kickoff return.

Bah, for some reason I was thinking LexCath.
#22
Norm Peterson Wrote:Prestonsburg definitely has some offensive firepower. I think they will have a hard time stopping Danville's offense though. I'm glad Somerset was able to win the district and get home field for the first 3 rounds. It would be a long drive for Prestonsburg or Leslie to come to Somerset and the Briar Jumpers have only lost once at home the last 3 seasons. Playing at home is a huge advantage in this region with the overall balance of the teams.

If Prestonsburg can get back to the form they were in during the first part of the season they will be hard to stop.Coach Derossott is a hard coach to beat during the playoffs. I think he will go back to the i-form and run it up the gut some with #21. He is a load to bring down. Then may throw in a few sweeps then go deep to williams or jamerson. Defense will have to step up for them to win and p-burg must realize they are a running team first and passing team second. I think theyve been getting a little to pass happy.
#23
Somerset wins out
#24
I'm pulling for Leslie Co.
[SIGPIC][/SIGPIC]
#25
bac2369 Wrote:If Prestonsburg can get back to the form they were in during the first part of the season they will be hard to stop.Coach Derossott is a hard coach to beat during the playoffs. I think he will go back to the i-form and run it up the gut some with #21. He is a load to bring down. Then may throw in a few sweeps then go deep to williams or jamerson. Defense will have to step up for them to win and p-burg must realize they are a running team first and passing team second. I think theyve been getting a little to pass happy.

Getting back to the form they were in the first part of the season. WTF!! Their schedule is a cake walk other than their losses. The teams they beat, any decent team could beat. They will lose this week to PCC and then out in the first round to Danville. Now that the realignment has taken place and they are no longer in the easiest region in Ky. State football (all classes) the hard to beat coach in the playoffs will be 1 and done. And what would ever make you think this is a run team when they pass 75% of the time. :ChairHit:
#26
Leslie Co.
#27
Somerset is the favorite but P-Burg and Danville could have something to say about that.
#28
WeBelieve Wrote:I used Freeman Ratings to calculate the probability of victory on a NEUTRAL field for the first 3 games of the playoffs

district 7
Somerset rating=19.7 Rank state= 47 2A= 3
game 1 95.5512659
district 56.6122677
region 44.9207241
Lexington Christian rating=8.6 Rank state= 83 2A= 10
game 1 85.1948346
district 63.6532235
region 18.6352776
Danville rating=18.3 Rank state= 53 2A= 6
game 1 75.1240794
district 36.7541843
region 28.3905654
Middlesboro rating=-6.6 Rank state= 144 2A= 23
game 1 38.0329939
district 9.71295647
region 0.92828866
40.0
district 8
Betsy Lane rating=-13.6 Rank state= 167 2A= 28
game 1 4.44873406
district 0.1526069
region 0.27560492e-1
Prestonburg rating=6.3 Rank state= 93 2A= 14
game 1 24.8759206
district 6.3128282
region 3.44040857
Leslie County rating=-1.3 Rank state= 122 2A= 21
game 1 61.9670061
district 21.5361477
region 3.13349638
Shelby Valley rating=-10.4 Rank state= 158 2A= 27
game 1 14.8051654
district 5.09767238
region 0.35556588

Briar Jumpers come out favorites (45%)
District 7 will likely send team to semi's(92%)

Sum of Ratings for this Region is 21 (#2)
Sum of Ratings for Region 3 is 44 (#1)
supporting what Stardust stated earlier

also District 7 (Somerset etc) = 40
and District 6 (NCC etc) = 36
so district 7 may be the strongest district if you use this measure
but not for Region

But throw out the numbers and it should be a great region to watch
good luck to all


Thanks for posting! This guy is a stat machine, appreciate the stats and ranking comparisons in all the threads. :Thumbs::thanks:
#29
My vote goes to Somerset or P'burg.
#30
Shelby valley

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