[RunItUpTheGut]

With the 2015 realignment coming up, I predict some major changes.

First of all, this IS NOT the KHSAA's final draft of the next realignment. That wont come out for a little while. This is just the numbers and where teams fall.

Second of all, the KHSAA will use the average of the 2012/2013 and2013/2014 numbers for slotting each school in the class they belong.

The KHSAA recently released the 2013/2014 numbers and we can start actually putting numbers together.

(This is from top to bottom. I'm not aligning them in what regions or districts they will play in.

I will post this class by class as I get it done.
Im retyping this.

Note that some teams will be allowed to play up or down for geography purposes, etc. and will make the outlook change by one or two teams in each class probably. If every team was FORCED to play in the class they are suppose to, this is how the alignment would look.

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 1A

Fulton City 46
Eminence 79.5
Dayton 80
Fulton County 85.5
Pineville 88
Paintsville 99
Jenkins 103.5
Harlan 113.5
Frankfort 114.5
Caverna 114
Williamsburg 116
Paris 119
Bellevue 120
Phelps 121.5
Russellville 130.5
Kentucky Country Day 130.5
Holy Cross Lville 142
Lynn Camp 146
South Floyd 147
Hazard 149.5
Ludlow 150.5
Campbellsville 151
Fairview 165
Raceland 166.5
Nicohlas County 171
Bishop Brossart 173.5 2A Last Year
Bracken County 175
Berea 175.5
Bethlehem 178
Pikeville 179
Crittenden County 182.5 2A Last Year
Beechwood 187

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 2A

Fort Knox 190.5
Trimble County 202.5
Betsy Layne 207.5
Ballard Memorial 207.5
Holy Cross Covington 213.5
Middlesboro 215
Newport Central Catholic 219
Newport 223.5
Murray 225
Mayfield 228 1A Last Year
Lexington Christian 230
Clinton County 230
Metcalfe County 232.5
Owensboro Catholic 235.5
Allen Central 238 1A Last Year
Mcclean County 241
Walton Verona 247
Danville 247.5
Hancock County 248.5
Gallatin County 249
Somerset 252.5
Leslie County 252.5
Green County 257
Carroll County 259
Owen County 270.5
Lloyd Memorial 271.5
Shelby Valley 275
Glasgow 280
Butler County 281.5
Todd County Central 287.5
Washington County 288
West Carter 288.5 3A Last Year
Shawnee 288.5
Monroe County 291.5 3A Last Year
East Ridge 296.5 3A Last Year
Magoffin County 303 3A Last Year
Webster County 303.5 3A Last Year
Edmonson County 306
Prestonsburg 308
Bath County 311.5 3A Last Year

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 3A

Desales 312.5 2A Last Year
Knott County Central 317
Sheldon Clark 317.5
Thomas Nelson 318
Christian Academy Lville 318 2A Last Year
Bardstown 318 2A Last Year
Morgan County 321.5
Caldwell County 321.5 2A Last Year
Lawrence County 324
Trigg County 325.5
Jackson County 327
Casey County 330.5
Russell 332.5
Estill County 338
Breathitt County 350
Henry County 351.5
Union County 356 2A Last Year
Fleming County 356
Belfry 362.5
Pike County Central 364
LaRue County 365
Garrard County 367.5
Lewis County 368
Powell County 369.5
McCreary Central 369.5
Fort Campbell 372.5
Hart County 374
Western Hills 382.5
Boyle County 384 4A Last Year
Elizabethtown 388.5
Adair County 390
Waggener 398 4A Last Year
Paducah Tilghman 399.5
Pendleton County 400 4A Last Year
Lexington Catholic 404.5 4A Last Year
Bell County 406.5
Rockcastle County 409.5 4A Last Year
Corbin 413
Central 415

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 4A

Breckenridge County 416.5
Franklin Simpson 420.5
Ashland Blazer 421
Greenup County 422
Spencer County 426.5
East Carter 427.5 3A Last Year
Russell County 428
Wayne County 428 3A Last Year
Taylor County 430.5
Allen County Scottsville 435.5
Moore 437
Western 439.5
Hopkins County Central 440.5
Mason County 441.5 3A Last Year
Boyd County 444
Holmes 450.5
Bourbon County 460 3A Last Year
Nelson County 462.5
Rowan County 463.5
Mercer County 465.5
Harrison County 467.5
Clay County 468
Calloway County 470.5
Perry County Central 473 5A Last Year
Highlands 479
Warren East 479.5
Knox Central 481
Franklin County 481.5 5A Last Year
John Hardin 482 5A Last Year
Marion County 483.5
Letcher County Central 486 5A Last Year
Warren Central 501 5A Last Year
Shelby County 507.5 5A Last Year
Collins 514.5
North Oldham 515.5
Scott 519.5 5A Last Year
Johnson Central 536.5
Madisonville North Hopkins 538.5
Hopkinsville 540 5A Last Year

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 5A

South Warren 544.5 3A Last Year
Atherton 550 4A Last Year
Covington Catholic 552 4A Last Year
Logan County 554.5
Valley 558.5 4A Last Year
East Jessamine 561
Doss 561.5
Pulaski County 562
Madison Southern 566.5
Harlan County 566.5
Ohio County 567
Lincoln County 571
Whitley County 574.5
West Jessamine 581
Owensboro 587.5 4A Last Year
Grant County 590.5
Bowling Green 597.5
Cooper 600.5
Anderson County 601.5
Iroquois 603.5
Southwestern 605
Greenwood 607.5
Woodford County 608.5
South Oldham 609.5
North Bullitt 617
Christian County 623.5
Fairdale 625 4A Last Year
Bullitt Central 635.5
South Laurel 639.5
Barren County 654
Marshall County 661.5 6A Last Year
Grayson County 662.5
Montgomery County 664.5
Conner 667
Apollo 668
Southern 678.5 6A Last Year
Bullitt East 683
North Laurel 699.5
Graves County 714

[RunItUpTheGut]

Class 6A

Boone County 723.5
Oldham County 740
Muhlenberg County 743
Dixie Heights 751.5
Fern Creek 753
North Hardin 753.5 5A Last Year
DuPont Manual 765
Campbell County 765.5
Seneca 779.5
Male 789.5
Daviess County 796
Butler 798
Jeffersontown 811 5A Last Year
Meade County 824.5
George Rogers Clark 863
Ryle 880.5
Madison Central 881
Simon Kenton 887.5
Tates Creek 919
McCracken County 926.5
Bryan Station 927
Pleasure Ridge Park 929
Ballard 934
Central Hardin 951
Henderson County 975
Lafayette 986.5
Eastern 1094.5
Paul Laurence Dunbar 1120
Henry Clay 1177.5
Scott County 1230
Trinity 1283
St. Xavier 1359

[RunItUpTheGut]

Some big things that stand out if this holds up...

Mayfield to 2A
Desales to 3A
Caldwell County to 3A
CAL to 3A
Bardstown to 3A
Boyle to 3A
Lex Cath to 3A
Wayne to 4A
Cov Cath to 5A
Rock to 3A

I know this will never happen. Some teams will be given the privledge of playing where they want because of travel time, but if the KHSAA stays strict on realignment numbers, this could be a major change.

I look at Mayfield for example. I don't see how they could possibly play down to 1A again in 2015 when there is 9 teams smaller than them, no matter there travel time.


For my 5A region 4 counterparts on here, I could honestly see LCC and PCC having to stay in 4A this time around if there is a way they can group North and South in district 8 with Whitley and Harlan County.

[foxbatone]

I think Betsy Layne is going to Class A and be in the seam district as Pikeville.

[HDE]

I don't believe anyone is allowed to play "down" for geography purposes.

[Scotty_Bronson]

What would the 1A districts look like?

[RunItUpTheGut]

I don't believe anyone is allowed to play "down" for geography purposes.

Notice the ETC in my post.

The "geography" reference was for teams that play up, like a Perry or Letcher.

The etc. was for teams that play down.

[RunItUpTheGut]

Its actually funny, but if they made everyone play in the class they belong according to this, I think each class would grow in parity.

[RunItUpTheGut]

I think Betsy Layne is going to Class A and be in the seam district as Pikeville.

Im not sure what they'll end up doing but if Betsy Layne plays down, that could move Crittenden County up and I would imagine they would want to for travel time.

The biggest surprise still to me is I don't see anyway Mayfield stays in 1A football, and im not sure there fans want to.

I may try to create district out of these numbers.

[HDE]

Notice the ETC in my post.

The "geography" reference was for teams that play up, like a Perry or Letcher.

The etc. was for teams that play down.

I wasn't trying to argue with you ...... this time.
I don't get it though. Are you saying some teams play down or not?

[RunItUpTheGut]

Going by this realignment, 5A is overloaded with west teams.
This makes it hard to even things out. Very hard.
Some schools that are close and border each other would have to be separated into opposite district to even make it remotely work. Its the reason some schools are allowed to play up and down, but if it was forced to play in this way, this is the closest thing I could come up with. Maybe some of you WKY fans could break down the west a little better. There are a couple of 6 team district in the west to offset two four-team district in the east.

Region 1

District 1

Graves County
Marshall County
Christian County
Ohio County
Owensboro
Apollo


District 2

Bowling Green
South Warren
Barren County
Greenwood
Logan County

Region 2

District 3

North Bullitt
Bullitt East
Bullitt Central
South Oldham
Southern
Grayson County

District 4

Atherton
Valley
Doss
Iroquois
Fairdale

Region 3

District 5

Covington Catholic
Conner
Cooper
Grant County

District 6

Woodford County
West Jessamine
East Jessamine
Anderson County
Montgomery County

Region 4

District 7

Pulaski County
Madison Southern
Southwestern
Lincoln County

District 8

North Laurel
Whitley County
Harlan County
South Laurel

As you can see, by allowing Perry and Letcher to play in the east, teams like Owensboro and Apollo in the west could drop to 4A, and by letting John Hardin play in 5A, and dropping another, it would really ease the tension off the geography hurdles.

[RunItUpTheGut]

I wasn't trying to argue with you ...... this time.
I don't get it though. Are you saying some teams play down or not?

Im just messing with you. This time.


Some teams are allowed to play down.

[HDE]

I know they can play up, but I don't think they would let anyone play down.

[blue1424]

Just for fun, I put the 4A teams into districts:

District 1: Calloway County, Hopkins County Central, Hopkinsville, Madisonville-North Hopkins
District 2: Allen County-Scottsville, Franklin-Simpson, Warren East, Warren Central
District 3: Breckinridge County, John Hardin, Moore, Nelson County, Western
District 4: Collins, Franklin County, North Oldham, Shelby County, Spencer County,
District 5: Marion County, Russell County, Taylor County, Wayne County, Mercer County
District 6: Clay County, Knox Central, Letcher County Central, Perry County Central
District 7: Bourbon County, Harrison County, Highlands, Holmes, Mason County, Scott
District 8: Ashland Blazer, Boyd County, East Carter, Greenup County, Johnson Central, Rowan County


Travel wouldn't be much of a problem in the west, but in the east there would be some long bus rides to playoff games.

[Buc-a-roo]

Im just messing with you. This time.


Some teams are allowed to play down.

No, they aren't.

[cksportsfan]

In 6-A:
- With Marshall dropping to 5-A, Muhlenberg would get shifted back to D-1 (from D-2)
- North Hardin (up from 5-A), would move back into the Central Hardin-Meade district (replacing Muhlenberg)
- Jeffersontown (up from 5-A), would replace Southern (dropping to 5-A) in District 3
- Still have five NKY teams (Boone, Campbell, Dixie, Ryle, SK)
- Still have only three teams in District 2 (Central Hardin, Meade, North Hardin)

So no good way to do eight four-team districts

One solution I have would let Boone drop to 5-A (as smallest 6-A team) and bring up Graves (one of largest in 5-A).

Travel for Graves wouldn't be worse in 6-A compared to 5-A. Might be better actually.

Muhlenberg can stay in District 2 then.

NKY becomes a 4-team district in 6-A.

Boone could be in a 5-A district with CovCath, Cooper, Conner and Grant.

[E's Army]

I think Betsy Layne is going to Class A and be in the seam district as Pikeville.

What is this based on?

[E's Army]

What would the 1A districts look like?

Crittenden County would replace Mayfield in District 1. Paintsville moves from District 7 to 8 to replace Allen Central. Brossert replaces Paintsville in District 7. Minimum changes. Paintsville moves to a better district travel wise.

[cksportsfan]

Crittenden County would replace Mayfield in District 1. Paintsville moves from District 7 to 8 to replace Allen Central. Brossert replaces Paintsville in District 7. Minimum changes. Paintsville moves to a better district travel wise.

That definitely will NOT happen. No chance.

Brossart is a private NKY school.

Brossart is closer to all four 1AD4 schools (Beechwood, Bellevue, Ludlow, Dayton) and a D3 school (Bracken) than it would be to ANY school in 1AD7.

Brossart's 115 miles from Raceland, 120 miles from Ashland (Fairview) and 70 miles from Carlisle (Nicholas County).

Brossart will replace Bracken County in 1AD3 (and since D3 plays D4, that would make closer travel in playoffs) and put Bracken in D7 (Bracken is less than 45 miles from Nicholas) before Brossart goes to D7.

[Scotty_Bronson]

^^I agree. I cant see a NKY team in district 7. Bracken is the most logical. Paintsville moving to district 8 makes sense though. Especially with AC moving up. It always suprised me to see Allen Central struggle. They always have big numbers enrollment wise, atleast for a 1A team. Yet they dont field many football players and in recentyears havent garnerd mch success.

[RunItUpTheGut]

No, they aren't.

I know they can play up, but I don't think they would let anyone play down.

Yes they are. Newly consolidated schools have the option of playing down to start things off. I thought you would know this since Harlan County was allowed to play down in there first year.

No where in my post did I say that anyone could play down for travel reasons. That is why teams play up.


I will say this though. If they don't allow some teams to play down in the next alignment that shouldn't, then some classes will be really heavy on one side like 5A will be in the west.
Im interested to see what happens with Letcher and Perry.

[RunItUpTheGut]

In 6-A:
- With Marshall dropping to 5-A, Muhlenberg would get shifted back to D-1 (from D-2)
- North Hardin (up from 5-A), would move back into the Central Hardin-Meade district (replacing Muhlenberg)
- Jeffersontown (up from 5-A), would replace Southern (dropping to 5-A) in District 3
- Still have five NKY teams (Boone, Campbell, Dixie, Ryle, SK)
- Still have only three teams in District 2 (Central Hardin, Meade, North Hardin)

So no good way to do eight four-team districts

One solution I have would let Boone drop to 5-A (as smallest 6-A team) and bring up Graves (one of largest in 5-A).

Travel for Graves wouldn't be worse in 6-A compared to 5-A. Might be better actually.

Muhlenberg can stay in District 2 then.

NKY becomes a 4-team district in 6-A.

Boone could be in a 5-A district with CovCath, Cooper, Conner and Grant.

Good work
This is exactly what I was thinking when I was working up the 5A numbers.
I don't think they would let Boone drop to 5A, but it would make sense and work out for your mock 6A district and my mock 5A districts.

[RunItUpTheGut]

As many have said, 3A would look like a lot of fun.
Somebody should do a run of mock 3A districts.

[RunItUpTheGut]

These are the numbers the KHSAA will be looking at to start the discussion this month.

[blue1424]

As many have said, 3A would look like a lot of fun.
Somebody should do a run of mock 3A districts.

3A was a little difficult:

District 1: Caldwell County, Fort Campbell, Paducah Tilghman, Trigg County, Union County
District 2: Adair County, Bardstown, Elizabethtown, Hart County, LaRue County, Thomas Nelson
District 3: Christian Academy-Louisville, DeSales, Henry County, Waggener, Western Hills, Central
District 4: Boyle County, Casey County, Lexington Catholic, Garrard County
District 5: Breathitt County, Estill County, Jackson County, Powell County, Rockcastle County
District 6: Bell County, Corbin, Knott County Central, McCreary Central
District 7: Belfry, Lawrence County, Pike County Central, Sheldon Clark
District 8: Fleming County, Lewis County, Morgan County, Russell

Pendleton County

I left out Pendleton County because I had no idea where to put them.