[RunItUpTheGut]

District 7

District 7 is pretty cut and dry.
Next week will decide the seedings.
We do know the following.

The winner of the Southwestern and Pulaski game wins district and gets the one seed. The loser gets the two seed.

Same goes for the South Laurel and Lincoln County game. Winner gets the 3 seed and loser gets the 4 seed. This should be a good game.

As for a prediction, I think the following happens...
1. Southwestern
2. Pulaski County
3. Lincoln County
4. South Laurel



District 8

District 8 is not as cut and dry.
One thing we do know for certain is Letcher Central has been eliminated from playoff contention, even if they were to upset Whitley next week.

Assuming Harlan County beats Perry at home and Whitley takes care of business at Letcher, there will be a three way tie for first and a tiebreaker would have to decide the outcome.

Lets look at the different scenarios if unexpected outcomes happen this week.

If Perry beats Harlan County, and Whitley beats Letcher....

1. North Laurel 3-1 (would own head to head over Whitley)
2. Whitley County 3-1
3. Perry Central 2-2 (would own head to head over Harlan County)
4. Harlan County 2-2

If Perry beats Harlan County and Letcher beats Whitley...

1. North Laurel 3-1
2. Whitley County 2-2 (would own head to head over Perry and HC)
3. Perry Central 2-2 (would own head to head over Harlan County)
4. Harlan County 2-2

If Harlan County beats Perry Central and Whitley loses to Letcher...

1. Harlan County 3-1 (would own head to head over North)
2. North Laurel 3-1
3. Whitley County 2-2
4. Perry Central 1-3 (Would own head to head over Letcher)

Now the fun part....

If Harlan County beats Perry Central and Whitley beats Letcher Central....

Tiebreaker would come in to effect. So theres no confusion, here is the tiebreaker rules....

b) TIE-BREAKER (more than two teams). Should three or more
teams tie for the a district position based upon the win-loss
record, the position shall be determined by the following:
i) If one of the teams has defeated each of the other teams
tied in games contested between them, that team shall be
declared to hold the highest position, and the winner of the
game between the remaining teams (if less than four) shall
be declared the second highest position. In the event of more than three teams being tied, where one has defeated
each of the tied teams, that team shall be declared the
highest position, and the tie-breaking procedure shall be
re-applied for the remaining tied teams.
ii) If the tie remains, each team tied for the position shall
receive one point for each game won by any four of their
defeated opponents in all games, except for the games
played between any two of the tied teams. All games played
shall be counted in applying the tie-breaking procedure,
including out of state games, with the exception that a
defeated school may be counted only once in the procedure
regardless of the number of games played against that
particular school. Teams awarded forfeit victories (whether
or not a forfeit fee is paid) may count the defeated opponents
of the forfeiting team, provided the game was not replaced
on the schedule.
iii) If the tie remains after application of provision (ii), an
additional defeated opponent’s wins will be added to the
point total for each team until the tie is broken and the
winner of the tied position declared, or until all games are
exhausted.
iv) If the tie for the position involves only three teams, and the
application of (ii) and (iii) results in one team being declared
the winner of the tied position based on point totals, the
highest point total from the application of (ii) and (iii)
between the two remaining tied teams shall be declared to
hold the next position.
v) If the tie for the championship involves more than three
teams, and the application of (ii) and (iii) results in one
team being declared the winner of the tied position based
on point totals, the procedure shall then be re-applied to
determine the next position.
vi) If the tie for the position involves more than three teams,
and the application of (ii) and (iii) results in two teams
remaining tied for the position based on points, the head
to head game played between them shall break the tie, and
head to head competition will break any remaining ties.
vii) If a tie results after application of all provisions of the
above plan, the tie shall be broken by the Commissioner.


North Laurel

(Bolded are the 4 wins that would be used)

South Laurel- 3 wins. 2 games left.
Prestonsburg- 5 Wins. 2 games left.
East Jessamine- 5 Wins. 2 games left.
Grant County- 0 wins. 2 games left
Perry Central- 6 wins. 1 games left (note this is with a loss to HC)
Letcher Central- 0 wins. 1 game left. (note this is with a loss to whitley)
(Norths only game left) Clay County- 1 win

Current points using 4 highest teams- 19
Possible total points left- 26

Whitley County

(Bolded are the 4 wins that would be used)

Leslie County- 4 wins. 1 game left.
Bell County- 5 wins. 2 games left.
East Jessamine- 5 wins. 1 game left
Perry Central- 6 wins. 1 game left. (note this is with a loss to HC )
Letcher Central- 0 wins 1 game left (note this is with a loss to whitley)
(Whitleys only game left) Hazard- 5 wins- 1 game left (would lose to WC to count for WC)

Current points using 4 highest teams- 21 (only 20 if they lose to Hazard and have to use Leslie instead)
Possible total Points left- 26

Harlan County

(Bolded are the 4 wins that would be used. Note HC will only have 4 wins total to use)

Ashland- 7 wins. 1 game left.
Letcher Central- 0 wins. 1 game left (note this is with a loss to whitley)
Perry Central- 6 wins. 1 game left. (note this is with a loss to HC)
(Harlan Countys only game left) Bell County- 5 wins. 1 games left. (assuming HC beats Bell the point total would be the same for Whitley. If they lose to Bell, Whitley gains while HC doesn't.)

Current total points using 4 highest teams- 18
Possible total Points left- 21

Under this tie breaker scenario, we know a couple of things.
Whitley or North will be the one seed and win district.
Harlan County will be the 3.
Perry will be the 4.
Letcher is eliminated.
We wont know who wins until after the final week of the regular season.

1. Whitley/North
2. Whitley/North
3. Harlan County
4. Perry Central

Note: If North and Whitley are tied on points after the final week, then another team can be added until the tie breaker is exhausted. Meaning, If Whitley beats Hazard, then they could also use the Leslie win to break the tie and win district. North wont have another win to use besides Clay who only won 1 games to Leslies 4.

If Whitley loses to Hazard and they are tied with North in tiebreaker points, then North could use Clays one win to win the tiebreaker since Whitley would not have any more wins to count.







Thoughts?