[Stardust]

Liaison
Why he can win: Victory Gallop, his broodmare sire, owes trainer Bob Baffert after ruining Real Quiet’s Triple Crown bid by a nose in the Belmont in 1998. He’s a Grade I winner and one of last year’s top 2-year-olds.

Why he can’t: He’s shown nothing in his last two races, finishing a bad sixth in the Santa Anita Derby. The last Derby winner who was worse than fourth in its previous start was Iron Liege in 1957. He’s either better on synthetics or he’s better against lesser company.