[2000PHS]

I don’t even think it is a 3% chance Paintsville can win. If these teams played 100 times, Pikeville wins 99 and the other one, their bus would break down on the way. They are at home so that eliminates that. Paintsville does have some nice athletes at the skill spots but Pikeville’s are better at every position and the lines are not close. Literally would take a catastrophe.

^ 2020 may ring a bell. Similar matchup too. Except I don’t think Paintsville has a Max Johnson or Andrew Ford. They may have some good skills kids but not on Maxs level. This game is similar because in 2020 Hazards quarterback didn’t play in the first game of the regular season matchup and played in the playoffs. So Pikeville better be ready to take Paintsvilles best shot.

That was a huge fluke but good win for Hazard in 2020. They won the game. Pikeville didn’t show up that night and Hazard wanted it. Let Paintsville get themselves a ship which is nice for them too. But this is 2024 and a different Pikeville team. Older this year and I don’t see that happening. Definitely beatable but not by Paintsville. Pikeville puts a running clock on them in 2nd quarter if they didn’t have 4 starters out. Johnson helps them but it’s not enough. Pikeville beat them 41-0 at Paintsville and sat several players and honestly played poorly. They will have a few back on the field tonight too so it really just doesn’t look great for Paintsville.

I agree with a lot of this but in 2020 the week after Hazard beat Pikeville, Paintsville absolutely dominated Hazard. Hazard didn’t have a 1st down until mass subs were made after halftime. It would have taken Pikeville’s A+ game to beat Paintsville that night. Playoffs are sometimes about who is playing their best at that time and nobody in 1A was playing better than Paintsville. 

As for tonight, I agree with your assessment.