[Hoot Gibson]

I'll bet never in its "storied" history has Letcher had more conversation made about one of its upcoming games. That's what happens ,Letcher, when you play Corbin.  Good luck Friday. You're gonna need it.

I think Corbin is going to win this game pretty comfortably but there sure is a lot of over confidence for a Corbin team that has flamed out the last 2 seasons in the playoffs.

 I just looked on CalPreps and projected every possible matchup for kicks and giggles sake and Corbin beats Letcher, JC, Boyle and even Pikeville… 8 point favorite over Boyle, 7 point favorite over JC, 6 point favorite over Pikeville. The Letcher game on a neutral field is 38-19 Corbin. So if 85% of the games is picked correctly and Jett Pilot says ge trust a computer better than humans, Corbin is sitting in a good spot right now. Today anyways. 

How big of a favorite was Corbin over Johnson Central last season? I see that Trinity is only a 2 point favorite over Corbin on a neutral field. 

I think that CalPreps provides a great tool to compare strength of schedules. It also does a fair job of predicting outcomes between teams that have played comparable schedules. But the algorithm does not account for important factors like injuries, different improvement rates because of coaching quality and inexperience, and momentum. Belfry is a perfect example of a well coached team that peaks during the playoffs every season. Teams that think that they have "won" scrimmages and beaten Belfry very early in the season usually find themselves watching Belfry in the playoffs after their seasons end early. CalPreps consistently underrates Belfry at this time of year. CalPreps also places too much emphasis on close wins vs. close losses.

Regardless of how the LCC game against Corbin ends, LCC is a vastly better team than they were when they lost two games earlier in the season. Jonah Little is a senior, but he is a senior who is a first year starter at quarterback. LCC may have been competitive with Johnson Central and Corbin sooner if they had found a way to putt the ball in Little's hands more before the current season.

I am not sure how a muddy field and rain will affect LCC. They have a very good line and they run the football very well, but they also use their passing game to create space for Little.