[Old School Hound]

Wow great analysis. Thx for the input and explanation for ppl like me who scratch their heads when it comes to this.

You're welcome, Sarge.



It looks as though Boyle will probably need a loss from either Corbin or LCath in order to move up. I doubt Corbin is losing to Wayne or Campbell, so Boyle needs to hope Lex Cath stumbles at Scott County. Barring that happening, the only way Boyle moves up is if its opponents win AND Corbin's and Lex Cath's opponents perform very poorly from here on out. It is theoretically possible that Boyle could move up but not particularly likely.  A loss by Danville @ Whitley County, for example, drops Boyle's RPI from a projected 0.75146  to  0.74523. So, the Rebs need their opponents to win, win and win some more.

If Pulaski and Simon Kenton win out, that should be enough for Corbin to slip past the Knights, regardless of what else happens. If the Maroons and Pioneers have slip ups along the way, it will be very, very close and the Knights may win with a razor thin margin. I'm thinking at this time Corbin probably finishes #1 with something like a 0.759  rating to 0.758  for the Knights. Keep in mind this is what the numbers show right now. If some weird things happen over the next three weeks, the pendulum could swing. Most likely, though,  it will likely come down to the very last week of games.