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Full Version: Projecting the Top 25 classes
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Interesting article on Rivals. Here's a look at Kentucky and Louisville from that article.

NO. 3 - KENTUCKY - 19 COMMITS, 1,781 POINTS, 3.21 AVERAGE

What Mike Farrell says: "This has been an incredible job by Mark Stoops to get Kentucky to this point. This is a program that rarely is this active, this early in the process. It is never in the top five and has even climbed to the top spot for awhile. Even with a pretty full boat already, Kentucky is in on a lot of kids and they could actually improve on the ranking-per-recruit. A top 10 finish is probably not going to happen, but Top 15 is possible and Top 20 should be a lock."

What the numbers say: The headline of the year would be if Kentucky is able to finish ahead of Texas in the team rankings, and right now, the team projects to do just that. The current 3.21 ranking-per-recruit is not a great number as it would be right for a No. 19 finish, but the projections for what Kentucky can gain would place it one spot ahead of the Longhorns inside of the current top 25 at No. 13. When projecting out the players that Kentucky is still recruiting, as well as the remaining spots within the class, it safely puts this class to project at No. 19, or better.


NO. 15 - LOUISVILLE - 20 COMMITS, 1,515 POINTS, 2.95 AVERAGE

What Mike Farrell says: "This isn't a bad class but it is going to slide. The average-per-recruit just indicates it is not a top 25 class unless there is some work done late. I think what is really hurting Louisville is that it is being overshadowed by Kentucky, and in football, it has been some time since the two were on equal footing, let alone Kentucky having the perception advantage. What is worrisome is that Louisville didn't really get the bump from the Sugar Bowl win nor from moving to the ACC - I figured getting out of the Big East would be like escaping a death sentence for recruiting."

What the numbers say: Louisville may be able to battle and hold onto a top 25 finish but it will have plenty of competition. The Cardinals figure to finish higher than last year in overall recruiting and the pace looks to be headed for a near-1,600 point class, but that may only be enough for a No. 30 class. If there are plans on moving into the top 25, Louisville will need to add more four-star players because its current ranking indicates that the range is No. 33 to No. 36.

http://footballrecruiting.rivals.com/con...ID=1526515