It 1A-Lawrence County: 18-2
1B-Paintsville: 20-3
Just a small step below the top 2
3-Pikeville: 12-10
Another step below Pikeville
4-Johnson Central: 13-8
Then the teams that could play spoiler
5-Prestonsburg: 12-6
6-Belfry: 11-8
7-Magoffin County: 11-7
8-Pike County Central: 9-9
9-Floyd Central
10-Shelby Valley
11-East Ridge
12-Martin County
13-Phelps
14-Betsy Layne
15-Jenkins
Now let take a look at the top 4s top 2 pitchers.
Lawrence County:Bryce Blevins who is 4-0 21IP 44k 0BB(been to a 3 ball count twice I believe) 2R(not earned runs but total runs, I’ll use everyone’s total runs that are listed so far) 0.95ERA
Blue Fletcher 4-0 1save 22.2IP 26K 2BB 4R 1.34ERA
LC stats are on the IScore app
Paintsville:Colby Fugate 3-0 21IP 33K 14BB 4R 1.00ERA
Ashton Miller 6-0 31.2IP 35K 17BB 14R 0.66ERA
Pikeville: I know Pikeville hasn’t put all there numbers in the KHSAA scoreboard so I won’t have all their numbers, I’m just putting down what they have on the khsaa website other than I know Lakin and Clark both had a W on Saturday so I’ll add that, even though it’s not on there. The rest are as of April 24th. Cant tell a lot from them but it’s all I’ve got.
Tate Lakin 3-1 19IP 40K 8BB 7R 2.58ERA
Brady Clark 3-1 12.2IP 18K 4BB 6R 2.76ERA
Johnson Central:Cameron Kelsey 4-2 2SV 31.2IP 31K 17BB 19R 1.34ERA
Gavin Crum 2-1 20.2IP 38K 15BB 16R 5.08ERA
It’s pretty clear the top 3 have pretty deep pitching staffs. Johnson Central has some arms that can get hot and beat anyone. As for the sticks. I believe from top to bottom Paintsville has the deeper lineup but Lawrence County has a team that every starter is hitting over .300 at the moment. Johnson Central’s offense is the strong suit of their team and Pikeville has a team that when they can get 3 or 4 kids hot at the plate at one time they can score some runs. What I’m getting at with all this is, it’s going to be very fun come tournament time. Everyone buckle up and enjoy. Who ever wins the 15th is going to have to earn it.
Blevins has not walked a single batter!? Incredible.
(05-10-2021, 07:39 AM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ]Blevins has not walked a single batter!? Incredible.
Nope but he has been to a 3 ball count twice lol. The kid is unreal on the mound. Between Blevins and Fletcher they have walked 2 batters in over 43 innings but I do believe Fletcher has also hit one batter. When your not giving up free passes it makes it a lot easier to win games.
(05-10-2021, 10:18 AM)fewfirstchoice Wrote: [ -> ] (05-10-2021, 07:39 AM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ]Blevins has not walked a single batter!? Incredible.
Nope but he has been to a 3 ball count twice lol. The kid is unreal on the mound. Between Blevins and Fletcher they have walked 2 batters in over 43 innings but I do believe Fletcher has also hit one batter. When your not giving up free passes it makes it a lot easier to win games.
And it keeps him in games late due to low pitch count.
(05-10-2021, 10:38 AM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ] (05-10-2021, 10:18 AM)fewfirstchoice Wrote: [ -> ] (05-10-2021, 07:39 AM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ]Blevins has not walked a single batter!? Incredible.
Nope but he has been to a 3 ball count twice lol. The kid is unreal on the mound. Between Blevins and Fletcher they have walked 2 batters in over 43 innings but I do believe Fletcher has also hit one batter. When your not giving up free passes it makes it a lot easier to win games.
And it keeps him in games late due to low pitch count.
Yep, against Huntington he went 7innings with only 70pitches with 61 of those being strikes and 13ks.
I agree with everything you guys have said, but as for ERA, it is not all created equal. Pikeville has played a killer schedule and if LC and Paintsville would have played Pikeville's schedule their team ERAs would be higher.
(05-10-2021, 01:04 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]I agree with everything you guys have said, but as for ERA, it is not all created equal. Pikeville has played a killer schedule and if LC and Paintsville would have played Pikeville's schedule their team ERAs would be higher.
I can’t disagree with that. Pikevilles schedule has been the toughest in the 15th region this year.
(05-10-2021, 01:04 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]I agree with everything you guys have said, but as for ERA, it is not all created equal. Pikeville has played a killer schedule and if LC and Paintsville would have played Pikeville's schedule their team ERAs would be higher.
I’m not much a stats guy anyways. I believe in situational strategy based off stats but as far as who is better, nah. We will get to find out soon enough.
(05-10-2021, 02:55 PM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ] (05-10-2021, 01:04 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]I agree with everything you guys have said, but as for ERA, it is not all created equal. Pikeville has played a killer schedule and if LC and Paintsville would have played Pikeville's schedule their team ERAs would be higher.
I’m not much a stats guy anyways. I believe in situational strategy based off stats but as far as who is better, nah. We will get to find out soon enough.
Statistics are just that, statistics. What matters is what happens between the lines on the field. Head to head and common opponents tell you more. Unfortunately neither are very accurate. So, it’s all pretty much a guess till tourney time. Between Lawrence County, Paintsville, and Pikeville who ever is hot at tourney time and whoever gets the best draw more than likely wins the 15th this year. When all 3 throw their top 2 kids all are hard to beat. So, who gets the lucky draw and could possibly save their number 1 till the championship. That’ll probably tell you who your champion is going to be.
I think we all agree here. And I believe PHS nailed it, the team that doesn't have to face the other 2 in the semis will have the advantage. And with JC playing better, LC or Pikeville might draw them in the first round and throwing your #3 against JC could bite you.
Anyone know where the region tournament is played?
(05-10-2021, 04:21 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]Anyone know where the region tournament is played?
Last I heard, it was going to be at East Ridge. I hope that changes.
Johnson Central doesn’t have the pitching to beat either of the top 3. I could be wrong but I just don’t see it.
(05-10-2021, 05:16 PM)fewfirstchoice Wrote: [ -> ] (05-10-2021, 04:21 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]Anyone know where the region tournament is played?
Last I heard, it was going to be at East Ridge. I hope that changes.
Johnson Central doesn’t have the pitching to beat either of the top 3. I could be wrong but I just don’t see it.
I thought the 59th lost their spot in the rotation last year, hope I am wrong. I hope it changes too, they should move it to Pikeville lol.
All it takes is JC to pitch their ace and a bounce or two go against you and you could get burned using your #3. IMO of course. I would rather draw another RU and then face JC in the semis. Let Paintsville and LC be the other semi lol.
And the Paintsville/LC semifinal goes 21 innings and no rain in the forecast for a month. hahaha
Paintsville 4
Lawrence Co 2
Fugate for Paintsville
Fletcher for LC
(05-11-2021, 10:25 PM)2000PHS Wrote: [ -> ]Paintsville 4
Lawrence Co 2
Fugate for Paintsville
Fletcher for LC
Good game. Paintsville threw their number 1 and Lawrence Co threw their number 3. Painstville jumped on Jacob Fletcher in the first inning after a couple walks (plated 3run) and that’s all it took. Fletcher settled down and threw a really good game after the 1st. Fugate looked sharp and threw it well. Went 6ip. Neither offense performed great. Gunner Collins with a homer and Blue Fletcher with 2 hits and a run scored. Griff Colins was the difference in this game. After a walk, a HBP, then a error he comes up with a big double plating 2 in the first. Solid game by both teams. Looking forward to doing it again in a few weeks.
Update
1) Paintsville
2) Pikeville
3) Johnson Central
4) Lawrence County
I would say
1. Paintsville
2. Lawrence Co
3. Pikeville
4. Johnson Central
It looks like Gunner Collins is starting to get into a rhythm for Paintsville. He started the season a little slower than I expected but has hit 3 homers in the last 3 games.
Updated odds 15th:
Paintsville 37.5
LC 37.5
Pikeville 20
JC 5
Pikeville's Dylan Thompson (freshman) throwing a complete game, 3 hit shutout vs. JC was big for Pikeville. They are still inconsistent but are capable of winning 3 games in the region tournament.
(05-20-2021, 01:10 PM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ]Updated odds 15th:
Paintsville 37.5
LC 37.5
Pikeville 20
JC 5
Pikeville's Dylan Thompson (freshman) throwing a complete game, 3 hit shutout vs. JC was big for Pikeville. They are still inconsistent but are capable of winning 3 games in the region tournament.
I’d say this is pretty accurate. The only thing I disagree with is JC at 5%. I just don’t think they have the pitching to win 3 games in a row and their offense is at best 3rd/4th (JC and Pikeville offense is similar) in the region behind Lawrence County and Paintsville. I’d say LC 40%, Paintsville 38%, and Pikeville at 22%. One of 3 these teams will win the 15th region.
Even though Paintsville beat Lawrence County 4-2, I still feel that Lawrence is the best team in the region. I would put them slightly ahead of Paintsville, and ahead of Pikeville with Johnson Central being the 4th best. It will be interesting to see how the 57th tournament plays out.
(05-20-2021, 04:23 PM)Dawg_fan1983 Wrote: [ -> ]Even though Paintsville beat Lawrence County 4-2, I still feel that Lawrence is the best team in the region. I would put them slightly ahead of Paintsville, and ahead of Pikeville with Johnson Central being the 4th best. It will be interesting to see how the 57th tournament plays out.
I hear you. I think Pikeville is better than all the teams that beat them too.
Top 2 in the region are Paintsville and Lawrence. The rest are all up for debate. Johnson Central lost big to Belfry. Pikeville struggles offensively. First round draws in the regional tournament are key for many of teams with limited quality pitchers which is basically everyone but top 2 teams.
Just kidding about Pikeville DF83 but I believe Paintsville and LC would go 7 games in a best of 7 series.
I completely agree. Best of luck to all the teams! Should be a good one today between Lawrence County and Raceland
(05-21-2021, 01:36 PM)Truewords Wrote: [ -> ]Top 2 in the region are Paintsville and Lawrence. The rest are all up for debate. Johnson Central lost big to Belfry. Pikeville struggles offensively. First round draws in the regional tournament are key for many of teams with limited quality pitchers which is basically everyone but top 2 teams.
Top 3 teams.
Lakin, Tate
7
7
42.0
25
15
13
19
86
4
2
664
2.17
Thompson, Dylan
9
6
29.0
23
14
9
16
40
2
2
505
2.17
Clark, Brady
8
6
28.0
24
12
8
11
43
3
2
479
2.00
(05-22-2021, 11:34 AM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ] (05-21-2021, 01:36 PM)Truewords Wrote: [ -> ]Top 2 in the region are Paintsville and Lawrence. The rest are all up for debate. Johnson Central lost big to Belfry. Pikeville struggles offensively. First round draws in the regional tournament are key for many of teams with limited quality pitchers which is basically everyone but top 2 teams.
Top 3 teams.
Lakin, Tate
7
7
42.0
25
15
13
19
86
4
2
664
2.17
Thompson, Dylan
9
6
29.0
23
14
9
16
40
2
2
505
2.17
Clark, Brady
8
6
28.0
24
12
8
11
43
3
2
479
2.00
(05-22-2021, 12:47 PM)The Truewords Wrote: [ -> ] (05-22-2021, 11:34 AM)jetpilot Wrote: [ -> ] (05-21-2021, 01:36 PM)Truewords Wrote: [ -> ]Top 2 in the region are Paintsville and Lawrence. The rest are all up for debate. Johnson Central lost big to Belfry. Pikeville struggles offensively. First round draws in the regional tournament are key for many of teams with limited quality pitchers which is basically everyone but top 2 teams.
Top 3 teams.
Lakin, Tate
7
7
42.0
25
15
13
19
86
4
2
664
2.17
Thompson, Dylan
9
6
29.0
23
14
9
16
40
2
2
505
2.17
Clark, Brady
8
6
28.0
24
12
8
11
43
3
2
479
2.00
By these stats Lakin is Pikeville 3rd ranked pitcher. Nothing against the Panthers but after Lakin it drops off. Other players are good take nothing away from them but right now it’s a 2 hoarse race but not every team has their A game every time out. As I posted earlier 1st round draw is big key.
^That is because Lakin has pitched against Trinity, Lafayette, LCA, Paintsville, Raceland, Boyd Co., Ashland etc...
You must not have seen Clark pitch or didn't see Thompson shut out Johnson Central on 3 hits.
And you didn't see the All-A championship where Pikeville beat Paintsville.
We will agree to disagree, by all means Pikeville has the pitching to win the region if their defense holds up.